Vélez Sársfield vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores
Result
2:0
19/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes World Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
malaysiaMalaysiaMola
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainLaLiga+ app, LaLiga+
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.860.25
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
75% (333/443)73% (277/377)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.860.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.590.65
Total shots
158
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
147
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
75% (333/443)73% (277/377)
Long passes
34% (21/62)44% (27/62)
Passes in final third
54% (56/104)67% (52/78)
Crosses
41% (7/17)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.14
Throw-ins
2013
Fouls
1220
Tackles
89% (16/18)68% (15/22)
Duels won
6253
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.650.59
Goals prevented
0.65-1.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Carrizo M. ⚽, Gomez E. (A),
  • 8', Carrizo M. 🟨,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Galvan T. ⚽, Gordon J. (A),
  • 40', Ze Welison 🟨,
  • 42', Aliendro R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Deyverson ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
  • 46', Breno Lopes ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
  • 46', Marinho ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
  • 46', Mancuso E. 🟨,
  • 61', Ze Welison ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
  • 66', Machuca I. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
  • 66', Galvan T. ↓, Andrada T. ↑,
  • 68', Lucas Sasha 🟨,
  • 75', Carrizo M. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
  • 75', Mancuso E. ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
  • 84', Braian Romero ↓, Santos M. ↑,
  • 84', Aliendro R. ↓, Bouzat A. ↑,
  • 90+1', Yago Pikachu 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
50.6%		Draw
29.1%		Fortaleza
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 28.4% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 27.5% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
    •

    Vélez Sársfield - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.86 ↑
    (1.83)    		 3.23 ↓
    (3.3)    		 4.61 ↑
    (4.6)    		 6.4%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 49.9% – 90.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez (votes: 1 - 20%). Fortaleza (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Vélez (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Fortaleza (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • In recent matches, Vélez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fortaleza is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Vélez is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Andrada I. (Back Injury) Bouzat A. (Calf Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Mammana E. (Injury) Monzon F. (Knee Injury) Valdes D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno (Finger Injury) Matheus Rossetto (Red Card) Moises (Thigh Injury) Pochettino T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Joao Ricardo (Finger Injury) Kuscevic B. (Inactive) Pereira M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vélez won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Fortaleza were as follows:
    12.08.2025 Fortaleza - Vélez Sársfield 0:0
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    16.08.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Independiente 2:1 ✺
    12.08.2025 Fortaleza - Vélez Sársfield 0:0 ✺
    07.08.2025 San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield 1:0 ✺
    26.07.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Instituto Córdoba 0:0 ✺
    19.07.2025 Platense - Vélez Sársfield 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    16.08.2025 Fluminense - Fortaleza 2:1 ✺
    12.08.2025 Fortaleza - Vélez Sársfield 0:0 ✺
    09.08.2025 Fortaleza - Botafogo RJ 0:5 ✺
    03.08.2025 Corinthians - Fortaleza 1:1 ✺
    29.07.2025 Grêmio - Fortaleza 2:1 ✺
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P31204:315
    3Ind. Medellin20112:5-31
    4Cusco20021:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional21104:224
    2Deportes Tolima31114:314
    3Coquimbo31113:4-14
    4U. de Deportes20110:2-21


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia22003:126
    2La Guaira20201:102
    3Fluminense20111:2-11
    4Bolivar20111:2-11


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors32015:236
    2U. Catolica32015:416
    3Cruzeiro32013:216
    4Barcelona SC30031:6-50


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians22004:046
    2Platense32014:406
    3Penarol20112:3-11
    4Santa Fe30122:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal32014:226
    2Palmeiras31204:315
    3Cerro Porteno31112:204
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito32013:126
    2Lanus32012:116
    3Mirassol32013:216
    4Always Ready30030:4-40


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central32104:047
    2Ind. del Valle32106:337
    3Universidad Central31024:7-33
    4Libertad Asuncion30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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