Fortaleza vs Náutico Capibaribe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Fortaleza - Náutico Capibaribe
Result
2:1
26/02/2023 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 7

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
74.7%
Draw
17.5%
Náutico Capibaribe
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 23.2% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6% 24.1% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.
  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Capibaribe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Capibaribe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fortaleza - Náutico Capibaribe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.45)
    5.23
    (3.94)
    11.84
    (6.74)
    9.1%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs)).
    • Recent matches Fortaleza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Náutico is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Fortaleza have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Fortaleza is certain favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    17.02.2023 Fortaleza - CS Alagoano 3:0
    14.02.2023 Bahia - Fortaleza 0:3
    07.02.2023 Ceará - Fortaleza 2:1
    04.02.2023 ABC - Fortaleza 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1CSAFerroviario2 : 1
    2VitoriaConfianca0 : 1
    3BahiaFortaleza2 : 1
    4Sport RecifeCeara0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CSAConfianca
    2BahiaCeara

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2