Result
3:1
26/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 17
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (290/351) | 82% (395/480) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.37 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (290/351) | 82% (395/480) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (31/49) | 54% (27/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (75/112) | 57% (48/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 3.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Deyverson ⚽, Pochettino T. (A),
- 8', Jhon Jhon 🟨,
- 19', 2 - 0, Kuscevic B. ⚽, Pereira M. (A),
- 29', Pochettino T. ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
- 32', Avila G. 🟨,
- 38', 2 - 1, Pitta I. ⚽,
- 45', Palacios S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Breno Lopes ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 46', Palacios S. ↓, Sant'Anna A. ↑,
- 48', 3 - 1, Lucca Prior ⚽,
- 50', Eric Ramires 🟨,
- 51', Andrade K. 🟨,
- 56', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
- 56', Eric Ramires ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 63', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
- 63', Jhon Jhon ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
- 65', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 70', Marinho ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 81', Deyverson ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
- 81', Pereira M. ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
- 85', Gustavo Marques ↓, Nathan Mendes ↑,
- 88', Yago Pikachu 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
47.4% | Draw
28.1% | Red Bull Bragantino
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Bull Bragantino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Bragantino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.6) |
3.51 ↑
(3.1) |
4.06 ↑
(2.87) |
0.4%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 15.2% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 2 - 50%). RB Bragantino (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3.
- Fortaleza has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- RB Bragantino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- RB Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Fortaleza will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno
(Inactive)
Bruninho
(Injury)
Bruno Pacheco
(Tendon Injury)
David Luiz
(Thigh Injury)
Emmanuel Martinez
(Yellow Cards)
Gustavo Mancha
(Injury)
Joao Ricardo
(Inactive)
Lucero J.
(Yellow Cards)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Cleiton
(Yellow Cards)
Fabricio
(Thigh Injury)
Fernando
(Calf Injury)
Juninho Capixaba
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Fernandes
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Mosquera H.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Fortaleza has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Fortaleza?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
17.08.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Fortaleza
1:2
28.04.2024
Fortaleza
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:1
30.11.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Fortaleza
1:2
29.07.2023
Fortaleza
-
Red Bull Bragantino
0:3
09.11.2022
Fortaleza
-
Red Bull Bragantino
6:0
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 56:16 | 40 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 19 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
