Fortaleza vs Red Bull Bragantino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino
Result
3:1
26/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 17
  • Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.350.75
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
83% (290/351)82% (395/480)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
2.350.75
xG on target (xGOT)
3.371.12
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2420
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
83% (290/351)82% (395/480)
Long passes
63% (31/49)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
67% (75/112)57% (48/84)
Crosses
46% (6/13)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.600.95
Throw-ins
1624
Fouls
1613
Tackles
71% (17/24)55% (6/11)
Duels won
6260
Clearances
2013
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.123.37
Goals prevented
0.120.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Deyverson , Pochettino T. (A),
  • 8', Jhon Jhon 🟨,
  • 19', 2 - 0, Kuscevic B. , Pereira M. (A),
  • 29', Pochettino T. , Lucca Prior ,
  • 32', Avila G. 🟨,
  • 38', 2 - 1, Pitta I. ,
  • 45', Palacios S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Breno Lopes , Herrera J. ,
  • 46', Palacios S. , Sant'Anna A. ,
  • 48', 3 - 1, Lucca Prior ,
  • 50', Eric Ramires 🟨,
  • 51', Andrade K. 🟨,
  • 56', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
  • 56', Eric Ramires , Fabinho ,
  • 63', Eduardo Sasha , Vinicinho ,
  • 63', Jhon Jhon , Gustavo Neves ,
  • 65', Herrera J. 🟨,
  • 70', Marinho , Yago Pikachu ,
  • 81', Deyverson , Bareiro A. ,
  • 81', Pereira M. , Matheus Rossetto ,
  • 85', Gustavo Marques , Nathan Mendes ,
  • 88', Yago Pikachu 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
47.4%
Draw
28.1%
Red Bull Bragantino
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 30.6% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 32.5% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.
  • Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Bull Bragantino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Bragantino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.6)
    3.51
    (3.1)
    4.06
    (2.87)
    0.4%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 15.2%64.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 2 - 50%). RB Bragantino (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3.
    • Fortaleza has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • RB Bragantino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • RB Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Fortaleza will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno (Inactive) Bruninho (Injury) Bruno Pacheco (Tendon Injury) David Luiz (Thigh Injury) Emmanuel Martinez (Yellow Cards) Gustavo Mancha (Injury) Joao Ricardo (Inactive) Lucero J. (Yellow Cards) Moises (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Cleiton (Yellow Cards) Fabricio (Thigh Injury) Fernando (Calf Injury) Juninho Capixaba (Knee Injury) Matheus Fernandes (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Mosquera H. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza 1:2
    28.04.2024 Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino 1:1
    30.11.2023 Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza 1:2
    29.07.2023 Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino 0:3
    09.11.2022 Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino 6:0
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    24.07.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza Postponed
    19.07.2025 Fortaleza - Bahia 1:1
    13.07.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:1
    09.07.2025 Bahia - Fortaleza 2:1
    12.06.2025 Fortaleza - Santos 2:3
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet