Result
3:1
26/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 17
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.35 | 0.75 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
83% (290/351) | 82% (395/480) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.35 | 0.75 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.37 | 1.12 |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
83% (290/351) | 82% (395/480) |
Long passes |
---|
63% (31/49) | 54% (27/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (75/112) | 57% (48/84) |
Crosses |
---|
46% (6/13) | 40% (6/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.60 | 0.95 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (17/24) | 55% (6/11) |
Duels won |
---|
62 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 13 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.12 | 3.37 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.12 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Deyverson ⚽, Pochettino T. (A),
- 8', Jhon Jhon 🟨,
- 19', 2 - 0, Kuscevic B. ⚽, Pereira M. (A),
- 29', Pochettino T. ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
- 32', Avila G. 🟨,
- 38', 2 - 1, Pitta I. ⚽,
- 45', Palacios S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Breno Lopes ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 46', Palacios S. ↓, Sant'Anna A. ↑,
- 48', 3 - 1, Lucca Prior ⚽,
- 50', Eric Ramires 🟨,
- 51', Andrade K. 🟨,
- 56', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
- 56', Eric Ramires ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 63', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
- 63', Jhon Jhon ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
- 65', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 70', Marinho ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 81', Deyverson ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
- 81', Pereira M. ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
- 85', Gustavo Marques ↓, Nathan Mendes ↑,
- 88', Yago Pikachu 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza 47.4% | Draw 28.1% | Red Bull Bragantino 24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Bull Bragantino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Bragantino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.11 ↓ (2.6) |
3.51 ↑ (3.1) |
4.06 ↑ (2.87) |
0.4% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 15.2% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 2 - 50%). RB Bragantino (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3.
- Fortaleza has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- RB Bragantino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- RB Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Fortaleza will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno
(Inactive)
Bruninho
(Injury)
Bruno Pacheco
(Tendon Injury)
David Luiz
(Thigh Injury)
Emmanuel Martinez
(Yellow Cards)
Gustavo Mancha
(Injury)
Joao Ricardo
(Inactive)
Lucero J.
(Yellow Cards)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Cleiton
(Yellow Cards)
Fabricio
(Thigh Injury)
Fernando
(Calf Injury)
Juninho Capixaba
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Fernandes
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Mosquera H.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Fortaleza has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Fortaleza?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
17.08.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Fortaleza
1:2
28.04.2024
Fortaleza
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:1
30.11.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Fortaleza
1:2
29.07.2023
Fortaleza
-
Red Bull Bragantino
0:3
09.11.2022
Fortaleza
-
Red Bull Bragantino
6:0
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet