Red Bull Bragantino vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
26/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 36
  • Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.50
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
84% (380/451)68% (158/233)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.860.66
Total shots
168
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3912
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
910
Passes
84% (380/451)68% (158/233)
Long passes
59% (33/56)29% (17/58)
Passes in final third
73% (119/163)55% (53/96)
Crosses
41% (13/32)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.28
Throw-ins
2731
Fouls
109
Tackles
67% (8/12)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5443
Clearances
2743
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.660.86
Goals prevented
-0.340.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Herrera J. 🟨,
  • 33', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', Herrera J. , Lucas Crispim ,
  • 68', Eduardo Sasha , Laquintana I. ,
  • 76', 0 - 1, Bareiro A. , Lucas Crispim (A),
  • 82', Gustavo Neves , Davi Gomes ,
  • 82', Lucas Barbosa , Fernando ,
  • 82', Gabriel , Matheus Fernandes ,
  • 85', Breno Lopes , Gazal ,
  • 85', Bareiro A. , Deyverson ,
  • 90+1', Hurtado A. , Borbas T. ,
  • 90+1', Pochettino T. , Matheus Rossetto ,
  • 90+1', Pierre , Pereira M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Red Bull Bragantino
50.9%
Draw
26.3%
Fortaleza
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 27.1% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 27.2% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Bragantino's performance.
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.1)
    3.61
    (3.48)
    4.12
    (3.39)
    4.7%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Fortaleza (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Red Bull Bragantino will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.12%98.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, RB Bragantino is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Bruninho (Heel Injury) Eric Ramires (Hamstring Injury) Mosquera H. (Hamstring Injury) Praxedes (Yellow Cards) Rodriguez G. (Knee Injury) Sant'Anna A. (Hamstring Injury) Vinicinho (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Britez E. (Inactive) Joao Ricardo (Shoulder Injury) Lucca Prior (Inactive) Marinho (Ankle Injury) Rodrigo (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Breno Lopes (Injury) Weverson (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino 3:1
    17.08.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza 1:2
    28.04.2024 Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino 1:1
    30.11.2023 Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza 1:2
    29.07.2023 Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino 0:3
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    20.11.2025 Bahia - Fortaleza 2:3
    09.11.2025 Fortaleza - Grêmio 2:2
    06.11.2025 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:1
    01.11.2025 Santos - Fortaleza 1:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras431012:5710
    2Sao Paulo43106:2410
    3Corinthians42115:327
    4Bahia32104:227
    5Fluminense42115:417
    6Athletico-PR42114:317
    7Bragantino42113:307
    8Gremio42028:806
    9Chapecoense-SC31208:625
    10Mirassol31206:515
    11Flamengo RJ31114:404
    12Coritiba41125:6-14
    13Santos41126:8-24
    14Botafogo RJ31027:613
    15Vitoria31024:7-33
    16Remo40316:8-23
    17Atletico-MG40226:8-22
    18Internacional40223:6-32
    19Cruzeiro40224:9-52
    20Vasco40133:6-31

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet