Result
0:1
26/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 36
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (380/451) | 68% (158/233) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (380/451) | 68% (158/233) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (33/56) | 29% (17/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (119/163) | 55% (53/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (13/32) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 33', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', Herrera J. ↓, Lucas Crispim ↑,
- 68', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Laquintana I. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 1, Bareiro A. ⚽, Lucas Crispim (A),
- 82', Gustavo Neves ↓, Davi Gomes ↑,
- 82', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 82', Gabriel ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 85', Breno Lopes ↓, Gazal ↑,
- 85', Bareiro A. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 90+1', Hurtado A. ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
- 90+1', Pochettino T. ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
- 90+1', Pierre ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino 50.9% | Draw 26.3% | Fortaleza 22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Bragantino's performance.Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↓ (2.1) |
3.61 ↑ (3.48) |
4.12 ↑ (3.39) |
4.7% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Fortaleza (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Red Bull Bragantino will win
(19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.
- In this match, RB Bragantino is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Bruninho
(Heel Injury)
Eric Ramires
(Hamstring Injury)
Mosquera H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Praxedes
(Yellow Cards)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vinicinho
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Britez E.
(Inactive)
Joao Ricardo
(Shoulder Injury)
Lucca Prior
(Inactive)
Marinho
(Ankle Injury)
Rodrigo
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Breno Lopes
(Injury)
Weverson
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Fortaleza?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Fortaleza has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza were as follows:
26.07.2025
Fortaleza
-
Red Bull Bragantino
3:1
17.08.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Fortaleza
1:2
28.04.2024
Fortaleza
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:1
30.11.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Fortaleza
1:2
29.07.2023
Fortaleza
-
Red Bull Bragantino
0:3
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet