Magdeburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf
Result
4:2
18/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 8
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 8, WOW
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 8
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.001.22
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
90% (474/525)86% (338/391)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.001.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.331.06
Total shots
149
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
2617
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
96
Passes
90% (474/525)86% (338/391)
Long passes
62% (29/47)56% (22/39)
Passes in final third
75% (89/119)79% (89/112)
Crosses
50% (4/8)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.371.23
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
69
Tackles
82% (9/11)55% (6/11)
Duels won
3725
Clearances
1617
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.061.33
Goals prevented
-0.94-2.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Johannesson I. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Zimmermann M. , Oberdorf T. (A),
  • 28', Burcu L. 🟨,
  • 31', Burcu L. , Amaechi X. ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 46', Gavory N. , Fridriksson V. ,
  • 46', Heber D. , Muller T. ,
  • 46', El-Zein A. , Loric S. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Hugonet J. , Atik B. (A),
  • 58', Kownacki D. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 1, Amaechi X. ,
  • 66', Haag G. , Schmidt D. ,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Nollenberger A. ,
  • 79', Zimmermann M. , Iyoha E. ,
  • 80', Atik B. , Michel F. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Johannesson I. , Siebert J. (A),
  • 88', Gnaka S. , Chahed T. ,
  • 88', Heyer M. , Vermeij V. ,
  • 88', Fridriksson V. , Niemiec J. ,
  • 90', Musonda L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 4 - 2, Kaars M. ,

Chances of winning


Magdeburg
40.6%
Draw
24.1%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 24.8% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 25.8% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.11)
    3.93
    (3.6)
    2.7
    (2.7)
    5.9%
    (12.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Fortuna will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 47.7%95.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 5)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 1.
    • Magdeburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fortuna is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Magdeburg: Bockhorn H. (Knee Injury) Burcu L. (Illness) Kuhinja E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortuna: Kwarteng M. (Ankle Injury) Pejcinovic D. (Foot Injury) Rossmann T. (Muscle Injury) Vermeij V. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 2.2:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg 2:5
    19.05.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg 3:2
    16.12.2023 Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:3
    05.12.2023 Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:2
    27.01.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg 3:2
    Latest results of Magdeburg
    10.05.2025 Paderborn - Magdeburg 2:1
    25.04.2025 Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg 1:1
    12.04.2025 Ulm 1846 - Magdeburg 1:0
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke11002:113
    2SG Dynamo Dresden00000:000
    3Braunschweig00000:000
    4Dusseldorf00000:000
    5Magdeburg00000:000
    6Holstein Kiel00000:000
    7Hannover00000:000
    8Karlsruher SC00000:000
    9Bochum00000:000
    10Arminia Bielefeld00000:000
    11Nurnberg00000:000
    12Greuther Furth00000:000
    13Kaiserslautern00000:000
    14Paderborn00000:000
    15Darmstadt00000:000
    16Preussen Munster00000:000
    17Elversberg00000:000
    18Hertha Berlin10011:2-10

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