Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Schalke 04 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf).

2. Bundesliga - Round 15
Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	2.07
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
1	7
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
1	4
Passes
73% (291/399)	68% (219/321)
Yellow Cards
7	1
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	2.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.21	1.58
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
1	7
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
9	1
Shots inside the Box
8	10
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
1	4
Touches in opposition box
22	29
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
6	1
Free Kicks
8	15
Passes
73% (291/399)	68% (219/321)
Long passes
44% (36/81)	36% (21/59)
Passes in final third
55% (56/101)	48% (44/91)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.52	0.55
Throw-ins
16	27
Fouls
15	8
Tackles
50% (6/12)	62% (16/26)
Duels won
47	66
Clearances
31	25
Interceptions
4	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
1.58	0.21
Goals prevented
-0.42	0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', El-Faouzi S. 🟨,
40', Muslija F. 🟨,
44', Oberdorf T. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Karaman K. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', El Azzouzi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Karaman K. ↓, Lasme B. ↑,
55', Oberdorf T. 🟨,
66', Iyoha E. 🟨,
69', Raimund L. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
73', Wallentowitz M. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
74', Schmidt K. 🟨,
80', Antwi-Adjei C. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,
81', Iyoha E. ↓, Zimmermann M. ↑,
81', El Azzouzi A. ↓, Lenz C. ↑,
81', Popperl P. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Becker V. ⚽, Gomis C. (A),
83', Daland J. 🟨,
85', Becker V. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
86', Egouli E. ↓, Appelkamp S. ↑,
86', Muslija F. ↓, Celar Z. ↑,

Chances of winning

Fortuna Düsseldorf
29.1%

Draw
27.8%

Schalke 04
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.4%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Düsseldorf's form might have worsened.

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Schalke 04's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Schalke 04, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.68)	3.38 ↑ (3.25)	2.19 ↓ (2.49)	6.4% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Fortuna (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Schalke (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Schalke 04 will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Schalke (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 3.
Fortuna has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Schalke's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Schalke might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Fortuna: Alexandropoulos S. (Muscle Injury) Hettwer J. (Knee Injury) Lunddal V. (Foot Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury) Zimmermann M. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Becker T. (Knee Injury) Donkor A. (Inactive) Gomis C. (Hamstring Injury) Heekeren J. (Inactive) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Remmert P. (Inactive) Younes A. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Fortuna: Breithaupt T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Schalke: Gantenbein A. (Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Düsseldorf won against Schalke 04?

Fortuna Düsseldorf has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Schalke 04 has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04 were as follows:

10.05.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04 2:0

14.12.2024 Schalke 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:1

27.04.2024 Schalke 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:1

25.11.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04 5:3

Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf

30.11.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:1 ✺

22.11.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg 2:1 ✺

09.11.2025 Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:0 ✺

02.11.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Kaiserslautern 1:1 ✺

29.10.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Schalke 04

28.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 2:1 ✺

22.11.2025 Preußen Münster - Schalke 04 0:0 ✺

13.11.2025 Twente - Schalke 04 1:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Elversberg 1:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Karlsruher - Schalke 04 2:1 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	27	15	7	5	38:24	14	52
2	Elversberg	27	15	6	6	47:29	18	51
3	Paderborn	27	15	6	6	45:31	14	51
4	Darmstadt	27	13	11	3	49:30	19	50
5	Hannover	27	14	7	6	46:34	12	49
6	Hertha Berlin	27	12	8	7	42:33	9	44
7	Kaiserslautern	27	12	4	11	45:41	4	40
8	Karlsruher SC	27	10	7	10	43:51	-8	37
9	Nurnberg	27	10	6	11	37:37	0	36
10	Bochum	27	8	9	10	38:36	2	33
11	Dusseldorf	27	9	4	14	26:40	-14	31
12	SG Dynamo Dresden	27	7	8	12	45:46	-1	29
13	Braunschweig	27	8	5	14	29:44	-15	29
14	Greuther Furth	27	8	5	14	40:59	-19	29
15	Arminia Bielefeld	27	7	7	13	39:39	0	28
16	Holstein Kiel	27	7	7	13	34:42	-8	28
17	Magdeburg	27	8	3	16	39:50	-11	27
18	Preussen Munster	27	6	8	13	31:47	-16	26

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga