Result
2:3
26/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 31
- Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN, FOX Sports |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect, ESPN |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5P |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Sky Sport MIX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (272/366) | 82% (376/461) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 2.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (272/366) | 82% (376/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 42% (20/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (39/71) | 63% (76/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (20/27) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 76 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.81 | 1.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 13', 1 - 0, Curda L. ⚽, Baur M. (A),
- 26', 2 - 0, Marino S. ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 1, Ljubicic D. ⚽, N'Diaye M. (A),
- 40', 2 - 2, Aouchiche A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 66', Muller R. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
- 80', Marino S. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 3, Ljubicic D. ⚽,
- 85', Sticker J. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
- 85', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
- 86', N'Diaye M. ↓, Becker V. ↑,
- 86', Ljubicic D. ↓, Gantenbein A. ↑,
- 88', Sylla M. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
- 90+1', Aouchiche A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Aouchiche A. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paderborn
34.9% | Draw
34.5% | Schalke 04
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paderborn's form might have worsened.Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paderborn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Paderborn - Schalke 04 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.31) |
2.93 ↓
(3.26) |
3.49 ↑
(3.01) |
-4.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Schalke 04?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Schalke will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 28.1% – 78.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Schalke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A.
(Ankle Injury)
Copado L.
(Muscle Injury)
Hoffmeier M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Schalke: Dzeko E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Hojlund E.
(Heel Injury)
Kalas T.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Katic N.
(Knee Injury)
Matriciani H.
(Knee Injury)
Porath F.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Paderborn: Obermair R.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:30. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1.1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Schalke 04?
Paderborn has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Paderborn?
Schalke 04 has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Schalke 04 were as follows:
28.11.2025
Schalke 04
-
Paderborn
2:1
02.05.2025
Schalke 04
-
Paderborn
0:2
06.12.2024
Paderborn
-
Schalke 04
2:4
09.03.2024
Schalke 04
-
Paderborn
3:3
29.09.2023
Paderborn
-
Schalke 04
3:1
Latest results of Paderborn
Latest results of Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke ✔ | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 67 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 54:38 | 16 | 58 |
| 3 | Hannover | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 53:37 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 55:40 | 15 | 51 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 49:47 | 2 | 46 |
| 8 | Holstein Kiel | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 42:43 | -1 | 41 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:41 | -1 | 41 |
| 10 | Bochum | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46:45 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Karlsruher SC | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 48:59 | -11 | 40 |
| 12 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 51:50 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 47:48 | -1 | 36 |
| 14 | Braunschweig | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34:52 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 | Dusseldorf | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 30:49 | -19 | 34 |
| 16 | Magdeburg | 31 | 10 | 3 | 18 | 48:56 | -8 | 33 |
| 17 | Greuther Furth | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 44:65 | -21 | 33 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:54 | -20 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Schalke is Qualified for Bundesliga
