Fortuna Sittard vs Utrecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 6
  • Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
italyItalyComo TV
japanJapanU-NEXT
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
spainSpainGol Play, GolStadium
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.83
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
77% (267/345)85% (514/602)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.570.90
Total shots
814
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
832
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
712
Passes
77% (267/345)85% (514/602)
Long passes
41% (25/61)52% (35/67)
Passes in final third
46% (35/76)75% (130/173)
Crosses
20% (1/5)38% (12/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.151.55
Throw-ins
1122
Fouls
127
Tackles
50% (13/26)55% (11/20)
Duels won
5164
Clearances
425
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.900.57
Goals prevented
0.90-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Ihattaren M. ⚽,
  • 24', Brittijn P. 🟨,
  • 39', Limnios D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
  • 46', Peterson K. ↓, Michut E. ↑,
  • 50', Iqbal Z. 🟨,
  • 54', Engwanda A. 🟨,
  • 62', Min D. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
  • 63', Blake A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
  • 63', Bozdogan C. ↓, Demircan E. ↑,
  • 65', Ihattaren M. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
  • 65', Lonwijk J. ↓, Pinto I. ↑,
  • 80', Iqbal Z. ↓, van Ommeren J. ↑,
  • 82', Limnios D. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
  • 83', Michut E. 🟨,
  • 88', Viergever N. ↓, Eerdhuijzen M. ↑,
  • 90+6', Branderhorst M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fortuna Sittard
29.2%		Draw
27.3%		Utrecht
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 26.3% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 26.1% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Sittard that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.29 ↓
    (3.9)    		 3.52 ↓
    (3.6)    		 2.19 ↑
    (1.91)    		 4.5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 35.2% – 84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Fortuna Sittard (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard (votes: 1 - 50%). Utrecht (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2.
    • Fortuna Sittard has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Utrecht is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fortuna Sittard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Utrecht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S. (Illness) Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Halilovic A. (Ankle Injury) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Utrecht: El Arguioui R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: van Ottele S. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht 0:0
    22.12.2024 Utrecht - Fortuna Sittard 2:5
    11.02.2024 Utrecht - Fortuna Sittard 4:0
    28.10.2023 Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht 0:0
    03.03.2023 Utrecht - Fortuna Sittard 1:2
    Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
    17.09.2025 Feyenoord - Fortuna Sittard 2:0 ✺
    14.09.2025 Telstar - Fortuna Sittard 1:3 ✺
    31.08.2025 Fortuna Sittard - NEC Nijmegen 3:2 ✺
    17.08.2025 NAC Breda - Fortuna Sittard 2:1 ✺
    08.08.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Go Ahead Eagles 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Utrecht
    14.09.2025 Utrecht - Groningen 0:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Zwolle - Utrecht 0:2 ✺
    28.08.2025 Utrecht - Zrinjski Mostar 0:0 ✺
    24.08.2025 Utrecht - Excelsior 4:1 ✺
    21.08.2025 Zrinjski Mostar - Utrecht 0:2 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV24202270:294162
    2Feyenoord24153655:332248
    3Nijmegen24127559:401943
    4Ajax241110347:311643
    5AZ Alkmaar24116742:38439
    6Twente24911439:261338
    7Sparta Rotterdam24114931:40-937
    8Utrecht2487936:31531
    9Groningen24941131:32-131
    10Heerenveen2487940:42-231
    11Sittard24851136:43-729
    12Zwolle24761134:50-1627
    13G.A. Eagles24511837:39-226
    14Excelsior24751226:41-1526
    15FC Volendam24661226:39-1324
    16NAC Breda24571225:36-1122
    17Telstar24391228:41-1318
    18Heracles24521731:62-3117

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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