Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 6
- Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Spain | Gol Play, GolStadium |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (267/345) | 85% (514/602) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (267/345) | 85% (514/602) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (25/61) | 52% (35/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (35/76) | 75% (130/173) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 38% (12/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (13/26) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.90 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Ihattaren M. ⚽,
- 24', Brittijn P. 🟨,
- 39', Limnios D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
- 46', Peterson K. ↓, Michut E. ↑,
- 50', Iqbal Z. 🟨,
- 54', Engwanda A. 🟨,
- 62', Min D. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
- 63', Blake A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 63', Bozdogan C. ↓, Demircan E. ↑,
- 65', Ihattaren M. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
- 65', Lonwijk J. ↓, Pinto I. ↑,
- 80', Iqbal Z. ↓, van Ommeren J. ↑,
- 82', Limnios D. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
- 83', Michut E. 🟨,
- 88', Viergever N. ↓, Eerdhuijzen M. ↑,
- 90+6', Branderhorst M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortuna Sittard
29.2% | Draw
27.3% | Utrecht
43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Sittard that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↓
(3.9) |
3.52 ↓
(3.6) |
2.19 ↑
(1.91) |
4.5%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2.
- Fortuna Sittard has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Utrecht is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Fortuna Sittard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Utrecht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S.
(Illness)
Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Utrecht: El Arguioui R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: van Ottele S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Utrecht?
Fortuna Sittard has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Fortuna Sittard?
Utrecht has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht were as follows:
18.05.2025
Fortuna Sittard
-
Utrecht
0:0
22.12.2024
Utrecht
-
Fortuna Sittard
2:5
11.02.2024
Utrecht
-
Fortuna Sittard
4:0
28.10.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
Utrecht
0:0
03.03.2023
Utrecht
-
Fortuna Sittard
1:2
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Latest results of Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | PSV | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Ajax | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14:9 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Groningen | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Twente | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Sittard | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Nijmegen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 9 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:5 | 6 | 9 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:16 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Heracles | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:18 | -15 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
