Waalwijk vs Fortuna Sittard – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard
Result
1:2
28/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 24
  • Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.382.33
Ball Possession
65%35%
Goal Attempts
207
Shots on Goal
13
Shots off Goal
93
Blocked Shots
101
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
81
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
50
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
Free Kicks
1310
Offsides
70
Fouls
1013
Yellow Cards
14
Throw-ins
2819
Touches in the Opposition Box
3518
Passes
81% (457/563)69% (206/298)
Passes in the final third
74% (151/204)52% (47/91)
Crosses
25% (8/32)18% (3/17)
Tackles
78% (7/9)53% (9/17)
Clearances Total
1640
Interceptions
611

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Da Cruz A. , Dahlhaus J. (A),
  • 43', Fosso R. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Dahlhaus J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', Kramer M. 🟨,
  • 58', Michut E. 🟨,
  • 68', Peterson K. , Grujcic D. ,
  • 68', Michut E. , Bastien S. ,
  • 68', Halilovic A. , Radulovic B. ,
  • 71', Familia-Castillo J. , van der Venne R. ,
  • 71', van de Loo T. , Cleonise D. ,
  • 77', Pinto I. 🟨,
  • 82', Margaret R. , van der Water S. ,
  • 83', Pinto I. , Mitrovic J. ,
  • 86', Da Cruz A. , Sierhuis K. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, van der Water S. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Fosso R. , Sierhuis K. (A),

Chances of winning


Waalwijk
44.6%
Draw
26.8%
Fortuna Sittard
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 25.1% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 24.8% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Sittard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Sittard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.35)
    3.57
    (3.77)
    3.33
    (2.74)
    4.7%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 41.1%82.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 1.
    • Waalwijk is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Fortuna Sittard has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Waalwijk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Waalwijk will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Waalwijk: Van den Buijs D. (Injury) Weidmann D. (Injury) van Eijma R. (Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Branderhorst M. (Injury) Demir O. (Injury) Sierhuis K. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 21:27 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Waalwijk won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Fortuna Sittard - Waalwijk 3:2
    24.02.2024 Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard 0:1
    10.12.2023 Fortuna Sittard - Waalwijk 1:0
    17.02.2023 Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard 3:1
    15.10.2022 Fortuna Sittard - Waalwijk 0:0
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    16.02.2025 Twente - Waalwijk 2:0
    09.02.2025 Waalwijk - NAC Breda 5:0
    02.02.2025 Almere City - Waalwijk 1:4
    26.01.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:0
    Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV330012:399
    2Nijmegen22009:186
    3Feyenoord22004:136
    4Zwolle22003:036
    5Sparta Rotterdam32016:7-16
    6AZ Alkmaar21106:334
    7Ajax21104:224
    8Utrecht21015:233
    9NAC Breda21012:3-13
    10FC Volendam30305:503
    11Groningen31025:9-43
    12G.A. Eagles30214:7-32
    13Sittard20113:4-11
    14Heerenveen20112:3-11
    15Telstar30122:6-41
    16Twente20020:3-30
    17Excelsior20021:7-60
    18Heracles20021:8-70

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