Result
1:2
28/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 24
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.38 | 2.33 |
Ball Possession |
---|
65% | 35% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
20 | 7 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
9 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
10 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 10 |
Offsides |
---|
7 | 0 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 13 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 19 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
35 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
81% (457/563) | 69% (206/298) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
74% (151/204) | 52% (47/91) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (8/32) | 18% (3/17) |
Tackles |
---|
78% (7/9) | 53% (9/17) |
Clearances Total |
---|
16 | 40 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Da Cruz A. ⚽, Dahlhaus J. (A),
- 43', Fosso R. 🟨,
- 45+3', Dahlhaus J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Kramer M. 🟨,
- 58', Michut E. 🟨,
- 68', Peterson K. ↓, Grujcic D. ↑,
- 68', Michut E. ↓, Bastien S. ↑,
- 68', Halilovic A. ↓, Radulovic B. ↑,
- 71', Familia-Castillo J. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
- 71', van de Loo T. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
- 77', Pinto I. 🟨,
- 82', Margaret R. ↓, van der Water S. ↑,
- 83', Pinto I. ↓, Mitrovic J. ↑,
- 86', Da Cruz A. ↓, Sierhuis K. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, van der Water S. ⚽,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Fosso R. ⚽, Sierhuis K. (A),
Chances of winning
Waalwijk 44.6% | Draw 26.8% | Fortuna Sittard 28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Sittard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Sittard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↓ (2.35) |
3.57 ↓ (3.77) |
3.33 ↑ (2.74) |
4.7% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 41.1% – 82.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 1.
- Waalwijk is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Fortuna Sittard has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Waalwijk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Waalwijk will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Van den Buijs D.
(Injury)
Weidmann D.
(Injury)
van Eijma R.
(Injury)
van Osch Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Branderhorst M.
(Injury)
Demir O.
(Injury)
Sierhuis K.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 21:27 (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Waalwijk won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Fortuna Sittard?
Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Waalwijk?
Fortuna Sittard has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
14.12.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
Waalwijk
3:2
24.02.2024
Waalwijk
-
Fortuna Sittard
0:1
10.12.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
Waalwijk
1:0
17.02.2023
Waalwijk
-
Fortuna Sittard
3:1
15.10.2022
Fortuna Sittard
-
Waalwijk
0:0
Latest results of Waalwijk
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie