Result
1:2
28/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 24
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 35 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (457/563) | 69% (206/298) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 74% (151/204) | 52% (47/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 18% (3/17) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 53% (9/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Da Cruz A. ⚽, Dahlhaus J. (A),
- 43', Fosso R. 🟨,
- 45+3', Dahlhaus J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Kramer M. 🟨,
- 58', Michut E. 🟨,
- 68', Peterson K. ↓, Grujcic D. ↑,
- 68', Michut E. ↓, Bastien S. ↑,
- 68', Halilovic A. ↓, Radulovic B. ↑,
- 71', Familia-Castillo J. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
- 71', van de Loo T. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
- 77', Pinto I. 🟨,
- 82', Margaret R. ↓, van der Water S. ↑,
- 83', Pinto I. ↓, Mitrovic J. ↑,
- 86', Da Cruz A. ↓, Sierhuis K. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, van der Water S. ⚽,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Fosso R. ⚽, Sierhuis K. (A),
Chances of winning
Waalwijk
44.6% | Draw
26.8% | Fortuna Sittard
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Sittard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Sittard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.35) |
3.57 ↓
(3.77) |
3.33 ↑
(2.74) |
4.7%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 41.1% – 82.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 1.
- Waalwijk is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Fortuna Sittard has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Waalwijk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Waalwijk will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Van den Buijs D.
(Injury)
Weidmann D.
(Injury)
van Eijma R.
(Injury)
van Osch Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Branderhorst M.
(Injury)
Demir O.
(Injury)
Sierhuis K.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 21:27 (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Waalwijk won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Fortuna Sittard?
Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Waalwijk?
Fortuna Sittard has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
14.12.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
Waalwijk
3:2
24.02.2024
Waalwijk
-
Fortuna Sittard
0:1
10.12.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
Waalwijk
1:0
17.02.2023
Waalwijk
-
Fortuna Sittard
3:1
15.10.2022
Fortuna Sittard
-
Waalwijk
0:0
Latest results of Waalwijk
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
