Francavilla vs Sarnese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
14/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Addessi S. ,
  • 39', 0 - 2, La Monica G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 76', 0 - 3, ,
  • 76', 0 - 4, ,

Chances of winning


Francavilla
36.9%
Draw
26.1%
Sarnese
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 26.1% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 26.5% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Francavilla - Sarnese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.47)
    3.47
    (3.48)
    2.45
    (2.45)
    10.4%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 12).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Sarnese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Francavilla has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Francavilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Francavilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Francavilla
    Latest results of Sarnese
    07.12.2025 Sarnese - Fidelis Andria 2:1
    30.11.2025 Nardo - Sarnese 1:1
    23.11.2025 Sarnese - Acerrana 6:1
    16.11.2025 Nola - Sarnese 3:3
    09.11.2025 Sarnese - Heraclea 0:1
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta311810348:183064
    2Martina Calcio31178644:261859
    3Citta di Fasano31168744:331156
    4Paganese31167831:25655
    5A.C.D. Nardo311213637:261149
    6Afragolese31139945:38748
    7Virtus Francavilla311211842:311147
    8Gravina311371140:38246
    9Fidelis Andria311281132:25744
    10Sarnese319121046:43339
    11Real Normanna319121023:23039
    12Manfredonia311091232:36-439
    13SS Nola 1925311071440:44-437
    14Francavilla31991332:36-436
    15Heraclea31981427:33-635
    16Ferrandina31681719:41-2226
    17Pompei31671817:35-1825
    18Acerrana31352318:66-4814

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation