Francis Tiafoe vs Alexei Popyrin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/04/2025 at 10:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
7	7
Double Faults
2	6
1st Serve Percentage
52%	66%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (32/51)	67% (35/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (23/48)	33% (9/27)
Break Points Saved
63% (10/16)	50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
33% (17/52)	37% (19/51)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (18/27)	52% (25/48)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)	38% (6/16)
Winners
22	27
Unforced Errors
20	37
Net Points Won
56% (5/9)	58% (7/12)
Service Points Won
56% (55/99)	56% (44/79)
Return Points Won
44% (35/79)	44% (44/99)
Total Points Won
51% (90/178)	49% (88/178)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
3	0
Service Games Won
57% (8/14)	69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)	43% (6/14)
Total Games Won
44% (12/27)	56% (15/27)

Chances of winning

Francis Tiafoe
43%

Alexei Popyrin
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Francis Tiafoe - Alexei Popyrin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.21)		1.66 ↑ (1.64)	5.7% (6.2%)

What is the prediction for Francis Tiafoe - Alexei Popyrin?

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Popyrin will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 56.1% – 90.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 3 - 50%). Popyrin (votes: 3 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 17. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 27.
Tiafoe is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Popyrin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Tiafoe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Tiafoe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

How many head-to-head matches has Francis Tiafoe won against Alexei Popyrin?

Francis Tiafoe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alexei Popyrin won against Francis Tiafoe?

Alexei Popyrin has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Francis Tiafoe - Alexei Popyrin were as follows:

01.09.2024 Francis Tiafoe - Alexei Popyrin 3:1

Latest results of Francis Tiafoe

08.04.2025 Francis Tiafoe - Miomir Kecmanovic 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Jenson Brooksby - Francis Tiafoe 2:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe 0:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Alex Michelsen - Francis Tiafoe 0:2 ✺

03.04.2025 Adam Walton - Francis Tiafoe 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Alexei Popyrin

08.04.2025 Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert 2:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Alexei Popyrin - Roman Safiullin 1:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Marcos Giron - Alexei Popyrin 2:1 ✺

07.03.2025 Zizou Bergs - Alexei Popyrin 0:2 ✺

26.02.2025 Alexei Popyrin - Marin Cilic 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Navone M. (Q)	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
3	Lehecka J.	Korda S.	2 : 0
4	Bu Y. (Q)	Musetti L. (13)	1 : 2
5	Rune H. (RET.) (10)	Borges N.	0 : 1
6	Sonego L.	Martinez P.	1 : 2
7	Thompson J.	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 0
8	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (6)
9	Djokovic N. (3)	Bye
10	Wawrinka S. (WC)	Tabilo A.	1 : 2
11	Struff J-L.	Vacherot V. (WC)	0 : 2
12	Jarry N.	Dimitrov G. (15)	0 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (9)	Khachanov K.	2 : 1
14	Muller A.	Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)	2 : 0
15	Machac T.	Baez S.	2 : 1
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (8)
17	Draper J. (5)	Bye
18	Giron M.	Shapovalov D.	2 : 0
19	Etcheverry T. M.	Moutet C. (Q)	2 : 1
20	Davidovich Fokina A.	Shelton B. (11)	2 : 1
21	Tiafoe F. (14)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
22	Popyrin A.	Humbert U.	2 : 1
23	Bautista-Agut R.	Nakashima B.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Ruud C. (4)
25	Rublev A. (7)	Bye
26	Monfils G.	Marozsan F. (Q)	2 : 1
27	Lajovic D. (Q)	Cobolli F.	0 : 2
28	Griekspoor T.	Fils A. (12)	1 : 2
29	Auger-Aliassime F. (16)	Altmaier D. (Q)	0 : 2
30	Arnaldi M.	Gasquet R. (WC)	1 : 2
31	Fognini F. (WC)	Cerundolo F.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Berrettini M.	1 : 2
2	Lehecka J.	Musetti L. (13)	1 : 2
3	Borges N.	Martinez P.	2 : 1
4	Thompson J.	Tsitsipas S. (6)	1 : 2
5	Djokovic N. (3)	Tabilo A.	0 : 2
6	Vacherot V.	Dimitrov G. (15)	1 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (9)	Muller A.	2 : 1
8	Machac T.	De Minaur A. (8)	1 : 2
9	Draper J. (5)	Giron M.	2 : 0
10	Etcheverry T. M.	Davidovich Fokina A.	0 : 2
11	Tiafoe F. (14)	Popyrin A.	1 : 2
12	Bautista-Agut R.	Ruud C. (4)	0 : 2
13	Rublev A. (7)	Monfils G.	2 : 0
14	Cobolli F.	Fils A. (12)	0 : 2
15	Altmaier D.	Gasquet R.	2 : 1
16	Cerundolo F.	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Berrettini M.	Musetti L. (13)	0 : 2
2	Borges N.	Tsitsipas S. (6)	0 : 2
3	Tabilo A.	Dimitrov G. (15)	1 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (9)	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 2
5	Draper J. (5)	Davidovich Fokina A.	1 : 2
6	Popyrin A.	Ruud C. (4)	2 : 1
7	Rublev A. (7)	Fils A. (12)	0 : 2
8	Altmaier D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Musetti L. (13)	Tsitsipas S. (6)	2 : 1
2	Dimitrov G. (15)	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 2
3	Davidovich Fokina A.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
4	Fils A. (12)	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Musetti L. (13)	De Minaur A. (8)	2 : 1
2	Davidovich Fokina A.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Musetti L. (13)

Alcaraz C. (2)

1 : 2