Alexei Popyrin vs Francis Tiafoe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/04/2026 at 19:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV2, Sport TV7
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
swedenSwedenTV4 Tennis
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
00
1st serve percentage
0%0%
1st serve points won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
2nd serve points won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Break Points Saved
0/00/0
1st return points won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
2nd return points won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Break Points Converted
0/00/0
Winners
00
Unforced errors
00
Net points won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Return Points Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Total Points Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Last 10 balls
00
Match points saved
00
Service games won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Return games won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Total games won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)

Chances of winning


Alexei Popyrin
39.5%
Francis Tiafoe
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 68.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexei Popyrin's performance.
  • Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francis Tiafoe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexei Popyrin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francis Tiafoe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alexei Popyrin - Francis Tiafoe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (3.09)

    1.58
    (1.34)
    4.8%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Alexei Popyrin - Francis Tiafoe?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 1 - 50%). Tiafoe (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Popyrin is ranked ATP: 45. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 18.
    • In recent matches, Popyrin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tiafoe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tiafoe might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Tiafoe will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alexei Popyrin - Francis Tiafoe were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Francis Tiafoe - Alexei Popyrin 1:2
    01.09.2024 Francis Tiafoe - Alexei Popyrin 3:1
    Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
    Latest results of Francis Tiafoe
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Bye
    2Pinnington Jones J. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)0 : 2
    3Smith C. (WC)Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    4McDonald M.Brooksby J. (8)2 : 0
    5Tien L. (3)Bye
    6Basavareddy N. (WC)Draxl L. (Q)2 : 1
    7Burruchaga R. A.Walton A.2 : 0
    8Damm M.Nakashima B. (5)0 : 2
    9Etcheverry T. M. (6)Gomez F. A. (Q)2 : 1
    10Bolt A. (Q)Wu Y.2 : 0
    11Vallejo D.Svajda Z.2 : 0
    12ByePaul T. (4)
    13Michelsen A. (7)Wong C.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Kypson P.2 : 1
    15Kovacevic A.Hijikata R.0 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Zhang Z.2 : 0
    2Tirante T. A.McDonald M.2 : 0
    3Tien L. (3)Basavareddy N.2 : 1
    4Burruchaga R. A.Nakashima B. (5)2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (6)Bolt A.2 : 1
    6Vallejo D.Paul T. (4)1 : 2
    7Michelsen A. (7)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    8Hijikata R.Tiafoe F. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Tirante T. A.1 : 2
    2Tien L. (3)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    3Etcheverry T. M. (6)Paul T. (4)0 : 2
    4Popyrin A.Tiafoe F. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    2Paul T. (4)Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Burruchaga R. A.Paul T. (4)1 : 2