Fratria vs Arda Kardzhali – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
28/10/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bulgarian Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', 0 - 1, Huseynov C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Marinov M. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Shinyashiki A. ,

Chances of winning


Fratria
11.2%
Draw
25.1%
Arda Kardzhali
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.7% 22.2% 65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2% 18.5% 54.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fratria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fratria than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fratria - Arda Kardzhali Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.99
    (7.2)
    4.03
    (4.13)
    1.59
    (1.41)
    -1%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Fratria - Arda Kardzhali?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fratria is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arda is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Fratria has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Arda is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Fratria
    24.10.2025 CSKA Sofia II - Fratria 1:0
    20.10.2025 Fratria - Spartak Pleven 1:0
    12.10.2025 Germaneya - Fratria 0:4
    21.09.2025 Minyor Pernik - Fratria 2:3
    Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1Bdin VidinEtar2 : 1
    2ByeDobrudzha
    3ZagoretsBye
    4ByeBotev Vratsa
    5Partizan Cerven BrjagMinyor Pernik0 : 2
    6ByeCherno More
    7GermaneyaFratria0 : 4
    8ByeArda
    9BenkovskiDunav Ruse0 : 4
    10ByeLok. Plovdiv
    11Septemvri TervelMarek0 : 3
    12ByeMontana
    13Yambol 1915Vihren2 : 1
    14ByeSpartak Varna
    15OFC HaskovoSpartak Pleven0 : 4
    16ByeBotev Plovdiv
    17Botev Novi PazarSvoge1 : 4
    18ByeSeptemvri Sofia
    19LovechChernomorets 19190 : 5
    20ByeLudogorets
    21PernikHebar1 : 8
    22ByeLevski Sofia
    23Vitosha BistritsaLok. Gorna2 : 1
    24ByeBeroe
    25ChernolometsSevlievo2 : 4
    26ByeCSKA Sofia
    27Rilski SportistBelasitsa2 : 1
    28ByeLok. Sofia
    29Spartak PlovdivPirin Blagoevgrad2 : 1
    30ByeSlavia Sofia
    31Kom BerkovitsaYantra Gabrovo0 : 1
    32ByeCSKA 1948 Sofia

    1/16-finals
    1Bdin VidinDobrudzha2 : 7
    2ZagoretsBotev Vratsa1 : 4
    3Minyor PernikCherno More0 : 3
    4FratriaArda1 : 2
    5Dunav RuseLok. Plovdiv1 : 2
    6MarekMontana1 : 4
    7Yambol 1915Spartak Varna1 : 3
    8Spartak PlevenBotev Plovdiv0 : 4
    9SvogeSeptemvri Sofia0 : 2
    10Chernomorets 1919Ludogorets2 : 3
    11HebarLevski Sofia0 : 3
    12Vitosha BistritsaBeroe1 : 0
    13SevlievoCSKA Sofia1 : 2
    14Rilski SportistLok. Sofia2 : 3
    15Spartak PlovdivSlavia Sofia1 : 2
    16Yantra GabrovoCSKA 1948 Sofia0 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1DobrudzhaBotev Vratsa0 : 1
    2Cherno MoreArda0 : 3
    3Lok. PlovdivMontana4 : 0
    4Spartak VarnaBotev Plovdiv0 : 2
    5Septemvri SofiaLudogorets1 : 3
    6Levski SofiaVitosha Bistritsa3 : 0
    7CSKA SofiaLok. Sofia2 : 1
    8Slavia SofiaCSKA 1948 Sofia2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Botev VratsaArda2 : 3
    2Lok. PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1 : 0
    3LudogoretsLevski Sofia1 : 0
    4CSKA SofiaCSKA 1948 Sofia2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ArdaLok. Plovdiv
    2LudogoretsCSKA Sofia

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2