Frayles de Guasave vs Halcones de Obregón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
71:105
09/05/2025 at 23:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CIBACOPA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5677
Field Goals Made
2644
Field Goals %
46.4%57.1%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3345
2-Point Field Goals Made
1831
2-Point Field Goals %
54.5%68.9%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2332
3-Point Field Goals Made
813
3-Point Field Goals %
34.8%40.6%
Free Throws Attempted
1911
Free Throws Made
148
Free Throws %
73.7%72.7%
Offensive Rebounds
213
Defensive Rebounds
2629
Total Rebounds
2842
Assists
1427
Blocks
41
Turnovers
2010
Steals
514
Personal Fouls
1316

Chances of winning


Frayles de Guasave
29.8%
Halcones de Obregón
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 59.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Frayles de Guasave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Frayles de Guasave's form might have worsened.
  • Halcones de Obregón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Halcones de Obregón's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frayles de Guasave than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frayles de Guasave, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halcones de Obregón than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Halcones de Obregón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Frayles de Guasave - Halcones de Obregón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (2.39)

    1.32
    (1.47)
    8.2%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 180.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
    What is the prediction for Frayles de Guasave - Halcones de Obregón?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Frayles de Guasave will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:94.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guasave won 2.
    • Guasave is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Halcones de Obregón is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Halcones de Obregón has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Halcones de Obregón is the team to beat.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Guasave won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 547:572. (average 91.2:95.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guasave won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 209:192. (average 104.5:96).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Frayles de Guasave - Halcones de Obregón were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Halcones de Obregón - Frayles de Guasave 74:80
    28.03.2025 Halcones de Obregón - Frayles de Guasave 87:71
    27.04.2024 Halcones de Obregón - Frayles de Guasave 116:90
    26.04.2024 Halcones de Obregón - Frayles de Guasave 103:97
    03.04.2024 Frayles de Guasave - Halcones de Obregón 109:101
    Latest results of Frayles de Guasave
    Mexican CIBACOPA Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Astros220193:1471.000
    2Toros Laguna651563:5000.833
    3Halcones de Obregon642570:5470.667
    4Frayles de Guasave642619:5960.667
    5Zonkeys de Tijuana642517:4830.667
    6Ostioneros de Guaymas422374:3810.500
    7Angeles CDMX624527:5620.333
    8Rayos de Hermosillo624503:5430.333
    9Venados de Mazatlan624508:5320.333
    10Caballeros de Culiacan413356:3830.250
    11Pioneros de Los Mochis404345:4010.000

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