Frayles de Guasave vs Halcones de Obregón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
137:118
25/04/2026 at 22:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CIBACOPA

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7778
Field goals made
4442
Field goals %
57.14%53.85%
2-point field goals attempts
3555
2-point field goals made
2732
2-point field goals %
77.14%58.18%
3-point field goals attempts
4223
3-point field goals made
1710
3-point field goals %
40.48%43.48%
Free throws attempts
4145
Free throws made
3424
Free throws %
82.9%53.3%
Offensive rebounds
918
Defensive rebounds
2728
Total rebounds
3646
Assists
2920
Blocks
14
Turnovers
816
Steals
125
Personal fouls
2929

Chances of winning


Frayles de Guasave
62.8%
Halcones de Obregón
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 53.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Frayles de Guasave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frayles de Guasave's performance.
  • Halcones de Obregón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Halcones de Obregón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frayles de Guasave than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frayles de Guasave that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halcones de Obregón than the current prediction. (+16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Halcones de Obregón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Frayles de Guasave - Halcones de Obregón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.83)

    2.48
    (1.8)
    8.1%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 192.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guasave won 3.
    • In recent matches, Guasave has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Halcones de Obregón has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Guasave has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Guasave won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 930:949. (average 93:94.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guasave won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 402:383. (average 100.5:95.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Frayles de Guasave - Halcones de Obregón were as follows:
    24.04.2026 Frayles de Guasave - Halcones de Obregón 122:86
    21.03.2026 Halcones de Obregón - Frayles de Guasave 94:76
    20.03.2026 Halcones de Obregón - Frayles de Guasave 92:114
    09.05.2025 Frayles de Guasave - Halcones de Obregón 71:105
    29.03.2025 Halcones de Obregón - Frayles de Guasave 74:80
    Mexican CIBACOPA Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Astros262422519:21640.923
    2Halcones de Obregon3018122882:28420.600
    3Frayles de Guasave3219133099:29860.594
    4Angeles CDMX3218143001:29590.563
    5Zonkeys de Tijuana3216162809:27770.500
    6Toros Laguna3014162702:27000.467
    7Pioneros de Los Mochis2813152627:26900.464
    8Caballeros de Culiacan3213192959:30680.406
    9Rayos de Hermosillo3213192795:29090.406
    10Ostioneros de Guaymas3012182842:29140.400
    11Venados de Mazatlan286222418:26440.214

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