Result
3:1
21/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 3
- Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Norway | TV2 Play |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 2.71 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
73% (207/283) | 83% (412/499) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 2.71 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.59 | 1.24 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 27 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
73% (207/283) | 83% (412/499) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (30/69) | 56% (35/63) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (55/92) | 73% (110/151) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (2/14) | 26% (8/31) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.35 | 1.51 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
65% (11/17) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
---|
62 | 48 |
Clearances Total |
---|
52 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.24 | 1.59 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.23 | -1.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Ohlenschlaeger O. ⚽, Holten E. (A),
- 37', 2 - 0, Ohlenschlaeger O. ⚽,
- 44', 2 - 1, Kristiansen S. ⚽,
- 45+1', 3 - 1, Holten E. (Pen),
- 45+3', Ottosson F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Holten E. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
- 65', Melchior M. ↓, Mettler L. ↑,
- 65', Egeli V. ↓, Cheng C. ↑,
- 65', Gjone M. ↓, Smajlovic Z. ↑,
- 67', Skogvold H. ↓, Sorlokk S. ↑,
- 67', Molde S. ↓, Rafn S. ↑,
- 67', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Faraas B. ↑,
- 69', Woledzi M. 🟨,
- 81', Patoulidis E. ↓, Jemal E. ↑,
- 85', Eid D. ↓, Skaret B. ↑,
- 85', Mork S. ↓, Dzabic R. ↑,
- 85', Smajlovic Z. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fredrikstad 50.2% | Draw 27% | Sandefjord 22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sandefjord might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Fredrikstad - Sandefjord Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↓ (2.07) |
3.54 ↓ (3.62) |
4.18 ↑ (3.39) |
4.6% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fredrikstad - Sandefjord?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fredrikstad will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 3.
- Recent matches Fredrikstad is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Sandefjord is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Sandefjord could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Fredrikstad have a series of home games.
- Fredrikstad will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Fredrikstad: Kvile S.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Okpaleke K.
(Foot Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:14 (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fredrikstad won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Sandefjord?
Fredrikstad has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sandefjord won against Fredrikstad?
Sandefjord has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fredrikstad - Sandefjord were as follows:
15.02.2025
Sandefjord
-
Fredrikstad
2:2
01.12.2024
Sandefjord
-
Fredrikstad
0:1
21.06.2024
Sandefjord
-
Fredrikstad
4:2
28.04.2024
Fredrikstad
-
Sandefjord
1:0
08.03.2024
Fredrikstad
-
Sandefjord
2:0
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Latest results of Sandefjord
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Viking | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 42:24 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Tromso | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 31 |
3 | Brann | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
4 | Bodo/Glimt | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 29 |
5 | Rosenborg | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 27 |
6 | Sandefjord | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 24 |
7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 22 |
8 | Fredrikstad | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Kristiansund | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
10 | KFUM Oslo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Valerenga | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 18 |
12 | Bryne | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Molde | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 17 |
14 | HamKam | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:25 | -11 | 14 |
15 | Stromsgodset | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 17:33 | -16 | 6 |
16 | Haugesund | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5:39 | -34 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen