Result
3:1
21/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 3
- Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (207/283) | 83% (412/499) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (207/283) | 83% (412/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (30/69) | 56% (35/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (55/92) | 73% (110/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 26% (8/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.51 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 52 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -1.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Ohlenschlaeger O. ⚽, Holten E. (A),
- 37', 2 - 0, Ohlenschlaeger O. ⚽,
- 44', 2 - 1, Kristiansen S. ⚽,
- 45+1', 3 - 1, Holten E. (Pen),
- 45+3', Ottosson F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Holten E. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
- 65', Melchior M. ↓, Mettler L. ↑,
- 65', Egeli V. ↓, Cheng C. ↑,
- 65', Gjone M. ↓, Smajlovic Z. ↑,
- 67', Skogvold H. ↓, Sorlokk S. ↑,
- 67', Molde S. ↓, Rafn S. ↑,
- 67', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Faraas B. ↑,
- 69', Woledzi M. 🟨,
- 81', Patoulidis E. ↓, Jemal E. ↑,
- 85', Eid D. ↓, Skaret B. ↑,
- 85', Mork S. ↓, Dzabic R. ↑,
- 85', Smajlovic Z. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fredrikstad
50.2% | Draw
27% | Sandefjord
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sandefjord might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Fredrikstad - Sandefjord Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.07) |
3.54 ↓
(3.62) |
4.18 ↑
(3.39) |
4.6%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fredrikstad - Sandefjord?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fredrikstad will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 3.
- Recent matches Fredrikstad is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Sandefjord is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Sandefjord could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Fredrikstad have a series of home games.
- Fredrikstad will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Fredrikstad: Kvile S.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Okpaleke K.
(Foot Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:14 (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fredrikstad won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Sandefjord?
Fredrikstad has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sandefjord won against Fredrikstad?
Sandefjord has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fredrikstad - Sandefjord were as follows:
15.02.2025
Sandefjord
-
Fredrikstad
2:2
01.12.2024
Sandefjord
-
Fredrikstad
0:1
21.06.2024
Sandefjord
-
Fredrikstad
4:2
28.04.2024
Fredrikstad
-
Sandefjord
1:0
08.03.2024
Fredrikstad
-
Sandefjord
2:0
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Latest results of Sandefjord
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Viking | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 47:26 | 21 | 42 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 44:17 | 27 | 39 |
| 3 | Brann | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31:25 | 6 | 33 |
| 4 | Tromso | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 29:23 | 6 | 33 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24:21 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Sandefjord | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 33:24 | 9 | 27 |
| 7 | Fredrikstad | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:20 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | 9 | 25 |
| 9 | Molde | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 22 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Bryne | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 | Kristiansund | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:31 | -13 | 19 |
| 14 | HamKam | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18:29 | -11 | 17 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 17 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 21:37 | -16 | 9 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 18 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8:46 | -38 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
