Result
3:1
02/05/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 7
- Referee: Sinnes S. T. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (408/517) | 70% (227/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (408/517) | 70% (227/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/55) | 29% (17/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (148/197) | 57% (50/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.56 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Ingason K. M. ⚽, Mathisen U. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Leach S. ↓, Ghebreyohannes F. ↑,
- 53', Norbye J. 🟨,
- 61', Skogvold H. ↓, Laghzaoui S. ↑,
- 65', Thorsteinsson J. ↓, Haaland M. ↑,
- 65', Mathisen U. ↓, Eriksen K. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 0, Soltvedt J. ⚽, Ingason K. M. (A),
- 71', Eriksen K. 🟨,
- 75', Holme F. ↓, Nilsson M. ↑,
- 77', Sorensen J. ↓, Wassberg N. ↑,
- 77', Soltvedt J. ↓, Torsvik J. ↑,
- 81', Norbye J. ↓, Granaas E. ↑,
- 81', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Faraas B. ↑,
- 87', Holm N. ↓, Finne B. ↑,
- 90+6', 3 - 0, Finne B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+9', 3 - 1, Fredriksen U. ⚽, Eid D. (A),
Chances of winning
Brann
63.5% | Draw
20.8% | Fredrikstad
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Brann - Fredrikstad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.59) |
4.52 ↑
(4.33) |
5.96 ↑
(5.36) |
5.8%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Brann - Fredrikstad?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Brann will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Brann (2.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brann (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brann won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Brann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Brann is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Brann: Boakye N.
(Knee Injury)
Castro N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gudmundsson E.
(Knee Injury)
Magnusson S.
(Knee Injury)
Opsahl S.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Fredrikstad: Kvile S.
(Knee Injury)
Owusu S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Brann: Dyngeland M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Brann won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:11. (average 2.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brann won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:3. (average 2.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Brann won against Fredrikstad?
Brann has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Brann?
Fredrikstad has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brann - Fredrikstad were as follows:
28.09.2025
Brann
-
Fredrikstad
1:0
29.03.2025
Fredrikstad
-
Brann
3:0
18.08.2024
Fredrikstad
-
Brann
0:4
07.04.2024
Brann
-
Fredrikstad
0:2
22.10.2022
Fredrikstad
-
Brann
1:3
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tromso | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Viking | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Bodo/Glimt | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Molde | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Brann | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | HamKam | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Sandefjord | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Kristiansund | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Fredrikstad | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Sarpsborg 08 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Rosenborg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Start | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
