Tromsø vs Fredrikstad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
15/03/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eliteserien - Round 1
  • Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.770.59
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
91
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
62
Passes
89% (410/459)91% (559/615)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.770.59
xG on target (xGOT)
3.180.05
Total shots
166
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
42
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
124
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
30
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2120
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free kicks
412
Passes
89% (410/459)91% (559/615)
Long passes
48% (19/40)67% (37/55)
Passes in final third
77% (79/102)80% (108/135)
Crosses
47% (9/19)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.950.47
Throw ins
1813
Fouls
124
Tackles
82% (9/11)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3239
Clearances
2420
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.053.18
Goals prevented
0.05-0.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Larsen H. ,
  • 21', Fredriksen U. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 57', Laghzaoui S. , Nunez J. ,
  • 57', Ohlenschlaeger O. , Owusu L. ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Hjerto-Dahl J. , Edvardsson D. (A),
  • 69', Larsen H. , Braut D. ,
  • 69', Larsen L. O. , Nyhammer T. ,
  • 72', Fredriksen U. , Granaas E. ,
  • 73', 3 - 0, Hjerto-Dahl J. , Jenssen R. (A),
  • 80', Shein R. R. , Nilsson M. ,
  • 80', Sorlokk S. , Andresen A. ,
  • 82', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. , Innvaer S. ,
  • 86', 4 - 0, Hjerto-Dahl J. , Jenssen R. (A),
  • 87', Cornic L. , Mikkelsen M. ,
  • 87', Edvardsson D. , Nois J. ,

Chances of winning


Tromsø
56.7%
Draw
25.7%
Fredrikstad
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 26.3% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tromsø's performance.
  • Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fredrikstad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Tromsø - Fredrikstad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.87)
    3.69
    (3.54)
    5.37
    (3.91)
    5.6%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Tromsø - Fredrikstad?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Tromsø will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tromsø: 54%99.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tromsø will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 3.
    • Tromsø has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fredrikstad is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fredrikstad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tromsø has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Tromsø is the team to beat.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tromsø won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tromsø - Fredrikstad were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Tromsø - Fredrikstad 0:0
    29.06.2025 Fredrikstad - Tromsø 0:1
    29.05.2024 Tromsø - Fredrikstad 3:0
    25.05.2024 Fredrikstad - Tromsø 0:0
    Latest results of Tromsø
    27.02.2026 Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK 0:0
    20.02.2026 Tromsø - Viking Stavanger 1:1
    13.02.2026 Tromsø - Bryne 1:0
    30.01.2026 Tromsø - Mjällby 1:0
    Latest results of Fredrikstad
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tromso11004:043
    2Lillestrom11003:123
    3Molde11002:023
    4KFUM Oslo11002:023
    5Kristiansund11003:213
    6HamKam11002:113
    7Valerenga11001:013
    8Bodo/Glimt00000:000
    9Sarpsborg 0800000:000
    10Brann10012:3-10
    11Viking10011:2-10
    12Sandefjord10010:1-10
    13Aalesund10011:3-20
    14Rosenborg10010:2-20
    15Start10010:2-20
    16Fredrikstad10010:4-40

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