Result
0:0
15/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 15
- Referee: Hagenes K. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (569/638) | 79% (320/407) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (569/638) | 79% (320/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (32/53) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (155/196) | 65% (55/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Ibrahimaj Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Larsen L. O. ↓, Larsen H. ↑,
- 67', Drammeh S. ↓, Jebara C. ↑,
- 67', Olsen T. ↓, Arierhi K. ↑,
- 73', Paintsil Y. 🟨,
- 73', Cornic L. 🟨,
- 81', Cornic L. ↓, Skjaervik V. ↑,
- 81', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↓, Innvaer S. ↑,
- 87', Felix Va ↓, Alperud L. ↑,
- 87', Kitolano E. ↓, Nyheim G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tromsø
51.4% | Draw
25.2% | Lillestrøm SK
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(1.94) |
3.76 ↑
(3.71) |
4.04 ↑
(3.82) |
5.8%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Tromsø will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Lillestrøm will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tromsø: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 3.
- Tromsø is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Lillestrøm has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Tromsø has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Lillestrøm has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Tromsø is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Tromsø: Grundt J.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Lillestrøm: Elkaer F.
(Knee Injury)
Waehler M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Lillestrøm: Garnas E. B.
(Injury)
Krygard K.
(Injury)
- We predict that Tromsø will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tromsø won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tromsø won against Lillestrøm SK?
Tromsø has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lillestrøm SK won against Tromsø?
Lillestrøm SK has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK were as follows:
27.02.2026
Tromsø
-
Lillestrøm SK
0:0
25.08.2024
Lillestrøm SK
-
Tromsø
0:1
02.06.2024
Tromsø
-
Lillestrøm SK
1:2
06.08.2023
Tromsø
-
Lillestrøm SK
3:1
02.07.2023
Lillestrøm SK
-
Tromsø
0:1
Latest results of Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tromso | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Viking | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Bodo/Glimt | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Molde | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Brann | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | HamKam | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Sandefjord | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Kristiansund | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Fredrikstad | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Sarpsborg 08 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Rosenborg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Start | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
