Freiberg vs VfR Aalen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Regionalliga Sudwest Freiberg - VfR Aalen
Result
3:1
18/05/2024 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Kruger L. ,
  • 7', 2 - 0, Gerezgiher J. ,
  • 40', 3 - 0, Kruger L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 77', 3 - 1, Rienhardt M. ,

Chances of winning


Freiberg
55.4%
Draw
22.9%
VfR Aalen
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 19.6% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7% 18.4% 13.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiberg's form might have worsened.
  • VfR Aalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting VfR Aalen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfR Aalen than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for VfR Aalen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Freiberg - VfR Aalen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.41)
    4.03
    (4.72)
    4.26
    (6.27)
    8.4%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation).
    • Aalen is Relegated to
    • Recent matches Freiberg is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aalen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Freiberg is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Freiberg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Freiberg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiberg - VfR Aalen were as follows:
    11.11.2023 VfR Aalen - Freiberg 2:1
    26.11.2022 VfR Aalen - Freiberg 2:1
    Latest results of Freiberg
    27.04.2024 Mainz II - Freiberg 0:2
    20.04.2024 Freiberg - Hessen Kassel 1:1
    13.04.2024 TuS Koblenz - Freiberg 0:1
    Latest results of VfR Aalen
    28.04.2024 VfR Aalen - FSV Frankfurt 1:3
    20.04.2024 Bahlinger - VfR Aalen 2:1
    13.04.2024 VfR Aalen - Schott Mainz 2:3
    German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Freiberg1191133:102328
    2Steinbach Haiger1164127:141322
    3Mainz II1155120:14620
    4FSV Frankfurt1162318:12620
    5Walldorf1153322:17518
    6Grossaspach1145232:211117
    7FC 08 Homburg1145225:17817
    8Eintracht Trier1152423:19417
    9Stutt. Kickers1142512:18-614
    10Fulda-Lehnerz1134420:16413
    11Kassel1134420:18213
    12Offenbach1134419:23-413
    13Freiburg II1134423:30-713
    14Sandhausen1141621:29-813
    15Balingen1132614:27-1311
    16Alzenau1122714:27-138
    17Bahlinger1114611:28-177
    18Schott Mainz1112816:30-145

          Promotion ~ 3. Liga
          Relegation