Freiburg vs Basel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Freiburg - Basel
24/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Freiburg
55.2%
Draw
22.5%
Basel
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 22.4% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 24.1% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Freiburg - Basel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.72)
    4.28
    (4.22)
    4.25
    (4.19)
    4.9%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Freiburg - Basel?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Freiburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Basel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Freiburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Basel has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Freiburg is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 4.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Basel were as follows:
    06.09.2024 Freiburg - Basel 6:0
    07.01.2023 Freiburg - Basel 3:2
    Latest results of Freiburg
    20.09.2025 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 0:0
    13.09.2025 Freiburg - Stuttgart 3:1
    31.08.2025 Köln - Freiburg 4:1
    23.08.2025 Freiburg - Augsburg 1:3
    Latest results of Basel
    19.09.2025 Étoile Carouge - Basel 2:3
    13.09.2025 Thun - Basel 1:3
    30.08.2025 Sion - Basel 0:1
    27.08.2025 Copenhagen - Basel 2:0
    20.08.2025 Basel - Copenhagen 1:1
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    8ByeDyn. Kyiv
    9ShkendijaBye
    16ByeLudogorets
    17Slovan BratislavaBye
    24ByeYoung Boys
    25Malmo FFBye
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    49Lech PoznanBye
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5ShkendijaBye
    8ByeLudogorets
    9Slovan BratislavaBye
    12ByeYoung Boys
    13Malmo FFBye
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    25Lech PoznanBye
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 3, 1 : 2
    2ByeDyn. Kyiv
    3ShkendijaBye
    4ByeLudogorets
    5Slovan BratislavaBye
    6ByeYoung Boys
    7Malmo FFBye
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk1 : 0, 0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 1, 3 : 2
    13Lech PoznanBye
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland0 : 2, 1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS0 : 1, 1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 0, 1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga0 : 2, 1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik2 : 1, 1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 2, 1 : 3
    21HackenBrann1 : 0, 0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia1 : 2, 4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne3 : 1, 1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC1 : 0, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Maccabi Tel AvivDyn. Kyiv0 : 1, 3 : 1
    2ShkendijaLudogorets1 : 4, 2 : 1
    3Slovan BratislavaYoung Boys2 : 3, 0 : 1
    4Malmo FFSigma Olomouc2 : 0, 3 : 0
    5PanathinaikosSamsunspor0 : 0, 2 : 1
    6AberdeenFCSB0 : 3, 2 : 2
    7Lech PoznanGenk2 : 1, 1 : 5
    8MidtjyllandKuPS2 : 0, 4 : 0
    9Lincoln Red ImpsBraga1 : 5, 0 : 4
    10ZrinjskiUtrecht0 : 0, 0 : 2
    11BrannAEK Larnaca4 : 0, 2 : 1
    12RijekaPAOK0 : 5, 1 : 0