Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund
Result
1:4
05/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 28
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 5, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, SporTV
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, RCTI+
israelIsraelSport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Viaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5, SportKlub 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.373.39
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
81% (373/463)81% (332/410)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.373.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.703.71
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
59
Shots inside the Box
1015
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
3636
Through passes
0% (0/4)100% (1/1)
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
68
Passes
81% (373/463)81% (332/410)
Long passes
49% (21/43)34% (23/67)
Passes in final third
75% (112/150)73% (86/118)
Crosses
32% (8/25)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.343.55
Fouls
86
Tackles
44% (8/18)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4447
Clearances Total
2133
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
3.710.70
Goals prevented
-0.29-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Adeyemi K. , Beier M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 51', 0 - 2, Chukwuemeka C. , Beier M. (A),
  • 61', Beier M. , Guirassy S. ,
  • 61', Bensebaini R. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 65', Ginter M. 🟨,
  • 68', 0 - 3, Guirassy S. , Brandt J. (A),
  • 69', Holer L. , Dinkci E. ,
  • 69', Lienhart P. , Rosenfelder M. ,
  • 70', Chukwuemeka C. , Nmecha F. ,
  • 70', Adeyemi K. , Gittens J. ,
  • 79', 0 - 4, Gittens J. , Ryerson J. (A),
  • 79', Adamu J. , Gregoritsch M. ,
  • 79', Grifo V. , Hofler N. ,
  • 79', Osterhage P. , Beste J. ,
  • 80', Svensson D. , Kabar A. ,
  • 88', 1 - 4, Eggestein M. , Doan R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Freiburg
28.8%
Draw
26.6%
Borussia Dortmund
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 26.5% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 26.5% 41.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (2.98)
    3.61
    (3.55)
    2.15
    (2.25)
    4.2%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). Borussia D will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 53.2%84%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 0.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Atubolu N. (Shoulder Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rohl M. (Heel Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Couto Y. (Yellow Cards) Mane F. (Muscle Injury) Sabitzer M. (Knee Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Sule N. (Knock)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 15:54 (average 0.8:2.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:22 (average 0.9:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg 4:0
    09.02.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg 3:0
    16.09.2023 Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund 2:4
    04.02.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg 5:1
    Latest results of Freiburg
    30.03.2025 Freiburg - Union Berlin 1:2
    15.03.2025 Mainz - Freiburg 2:2
    08.03.2025 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 0:0
    02.03.2025 Augsburg - Freiburg 0:0
    21.02.2025 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 5:0
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga