Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 14
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 5
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 3
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1, Sport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.92
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
84% (423/502)78% (306/390)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.921.19
Total shots
219
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
3515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
911
Passes
84% (423/502)78% (306/390)
Long passes
43% (21/49)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
79% (117/148)65% (69/106)
Crosses
43% (13/30)45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.600.91
Throw-ins
1525
Fouls
119
Tackles
80% (12/15)43% (6/14)
Duels won
5039
Clearances
2427
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.191.92
Goals prevented
0.190.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Couto Y. 🟨,
  • 11', Manzambi J. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Bensebaini R. , Couto Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Bellingham J. 🟥,
  • 56', Silva F. , Gross P. ,
  • 72', Eggestein M. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Holer L. , Gunter C. (A),
  • 76', Jung A. , Grifo V. ,
  • 76', Gunter C. , Matanovic I. ,
  • 78', Guirassy S. , Beier M. ,
  • 78', Chukwuemeka C. , Svensson D. ,
  • 83', Ryerson J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Couto Y. , Adeyemi K. ,
  • 90+3', Can E. , Sule N. ,
  • 90+6', Kubler L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
27.3%
Draw
28.3%
Borussia Dortmund
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 26.8% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 27.7% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.52
    (3.22)
    3.4
    (3.55)
    2.15
    (2.18)
    4.2%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 5 - 13.5%). Borussia D will win (votes: 28 - 75.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 61.9%89.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 0.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Borussia D may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Borussia D has had a series of home games.
    • Borussia D could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Rosenfelder M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Anselmino A. (Injury) Anton W. (Injury) Sabitzer M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:57. (average 0.8:2.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:25. (average 1:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:4
    23.11.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg 4:0
    09.02.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg 3:0
    16.09.2023 Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund 2:4
    04.02.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg 5:1
    Latest results of Freiburg
    06.12.2025 Heidenheim - Freiburg 2:1
    03.12.2025 Freiburg - Darmstadt 2:0
    30.11.2025 Freiburg - Mainz 4:0
    27.11.2025 Viktoria Plzeň - Freiburg 0:0
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen23124744:291540
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV2368926:34-826
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga