Result
1:4
05/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 28
- Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 5, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria |
Azerbaijan | Idman TV |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Brazil | Canal GOAT, SporTV |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 4 |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, RCTI+ |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect |
Maldives | Medianet |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 6 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Sport 5, SportKlub 4 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
South-america | ESPN 5 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, PPTV Sports |
Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.37 | 3.39 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
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12 | 18 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 7 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Passes |
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81% (373/463) | 81% (332/410) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.37 | 3.39 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.70 | 3.71 |
Total shots |
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12 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 9 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 15 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
36 | 36 |
Through passes |
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0% (0/4) | 100% (1/1) |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 8 |
Passes |
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81% (373/463) | 81% (332/410) |
Long passes |
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49% (21/43) | 34% (23/67) |
Passes in final third |
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75% (112/150) | 73% (86/118) |
Crosses |
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32% (8/25) | 42% (5/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.34 | 3.55 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 6 |
Tackles |
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44% (8/18) | 56% (10/18) |
Duels won |
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44 | 47 |
Clearances Total |
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21 | 33 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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3.71 | 0.70 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.29 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, Adeyemi K. ⚽, Beier M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 51', 0 - 2, Chukwuemeka C. ⚽, Beier M. (A),
- 61', Beier M. ↓, Guirassy S. ↑,
- 61', Bensebaini R. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
- 65', Ginter M. 🟨,
- 68', 0 - 3, Guirassy S. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
- 69', Holer L. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
- 69', Lienhart P. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
- 70', Chukwuemeka C. ↓, Nmecha F. ↑,
- 70', Adeyemi K. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 4, Gittens J. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
- 79', Adamu J. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
- 79', Grifo V. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
- 79', Osterhage P. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
- 80', Svensson D. ↓, Kabar A. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 4, Eggestein M. ⚽, Doan R. (A),
Chances of winning
Freiburg 28.8% | Draw 26.6% | Borussia Dortmund 44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.33 ↑ (2.98) |
3.61 ↑ (3.55) |
2.15 ↓ (2.25) |
4.2% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). Borussia D will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 53.2% – 84%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 0.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Freiburg: Atubolu N.
(Shoulder Injury)
Kyereh D.
(Knee Injury)
Ogbus B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Rohl M.
(Heel Injury)
- There will not play in Borussia D: Couto Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Mane F.
(Muscle Injury)
Sabitzer M.
(Knee Injury)
Schlotterbeck N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Borussia D: Sule N.
(Knock)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 15:54 (average 0.8:2.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:22 (average 0.9:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Borussia Dortmund?
Freiburg has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Freiburg?
Borussia Dortmund has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
23.11.2024
Borussia Dortmund
-
Freiburg
4:0
09.02.2024
Borussia Dortmund
-
Freiburg
3:0
16.09.2023
Freiburg
-
Borussia Dortmund
2:4
04.02.2023
Borussia Dortmund
-
Freiburg
5:1
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga