Result
1:2
10/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 33
- Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport App |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 2 |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+ |
 Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5 |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (381/467) | 76% (234/306) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (381/467) | 76% (234/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 43% (25/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (59/97) | 70% (85/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 47 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, Rosenboom L. ⚽, Machino S. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Manzambi J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Manzambi J. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 2, Holer L. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
- 61', Rosenboom L. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
- 67', Gigovic A. 🟨,
- 71', Tolkin J. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
- 76', Grifo V. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
- 76', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
- 78', Gigovic A. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
- 79', Johansson C. ↓, Pichler B. ↑,
- 90+6', Doan R. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
- 90+6', Adamu J. ↓, Sildillia K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Holstein Kiel
27.5% | Draw
25.2% | Freiburg
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Holstein Kiel - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.48 ↑
(3.26) |
3.81 ↑
(3.79) |
2.04 ↓
(2.13) |
4.1%
(4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Freiburg?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Holstein Kiel (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Freiburg (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Freiburg (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Freiburg (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Freiburg will win
(29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.53% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Freiburg will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Freiburg (votes: 15 - 93.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Holstein Kiel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Freiburg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Freiburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P.
(Concussion)
Kelati A. Y.
(Thigh Injury)
Kleine-Bekel C.
(Knee Injury)
Komenda M.
(Thigh Injury)
Nekic I.
(Knee Injury)
Remberg N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D.
(Knee Injury)
Ogbus B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Machino S.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Freiburg?
Holstein Kiel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Holstein Kiel?
Freiburg has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Freiburg were as follows:
11.01.2025
Freiburg
-
Holstein Kiel
3:2
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
Latest results of Freiburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 105:27 | 78 | 76 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60:29 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60:38 | 22 | 56 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 59:39 | 20 | 52 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57:43 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 54:54 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 9 | Mainz | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 36:53 | -17 | 33 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:50 | -17 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 31 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:52 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 39:65 | -26 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:64 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
