Freiburg vs Köln – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 19
  • Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.221.29
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1319
Shots on target
54
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
55
Passes
81% (306/378)80% (338/420)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
2.221.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.171.39
Total shots
1319
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
28
Blocked shots
67
Shots inside the box
912
Shots outside the box
47
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2029
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
00
Free kicks
95
Passes
81% (306/378)80% (338/420)
Long passes
34% (15/44)36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
64% (58/90)64% (79/123)
Crosses
32% (6/19)42% (11/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.281.79
Throw ins
1715
Fouls
59
Tackles
70% (7/10)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4252
Clearances
3224
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
1.392.17
Goals prevented
1.390.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Rosenfelder M. (Own goal),
  • 11', 1 - 1, Scherhant D. , Suzuki Y. (A),
  • 44', 2 - 1, Matanovic I. , Ginter M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Kubler L. , Gunter C. ,
  • 62', Krauss T. 🟨,
  • 62', Rosenfelder M. , Ogbus B. ,
  • 63', Osterhage P. , Hofler N. ,
  • 66', Matanovic I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 67', Thielmann J. , El Mala S. ,
  • 69', Castro-Montes A. 🟨,
  • 74', Scherhant D. 🟨,
  • 76', Matanovic I. , Holer L. ,
  • 76', Scherhant D. , Grifo V. ,
  • 77', Krauss T. , Johannesson I. ,
  • 77', Lund K. , Martel E. ,
  • 87', Maina L. , Schenten F. ,
  • 87', van den Berg R. , Waldschmidt L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Freiburg
47.6%
Draw
26.3%
Köln
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 25.1% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 24.7% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Freiburg - Köln Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.85)
    3.61
    (3.78)
    3.65
    (4.05)
    5%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Freiburg - Köln?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Freiburg (1.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Köln (1.84) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Freiburg (1.45) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.01%96.51%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Köln (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 3.
    • Freiburg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Köln has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Köln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Freiburg could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lienhart P. (Abdominal strain)
    • There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Schmied J. (Thigh Injury) Simpson-Pusey J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Köln were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Köln - Freiburg 4:1
    04.05.2024 Köln - Freiburg 0:0
    17.12.2023 Freiburg - Köln 2:0
    06.11.2022 Freiburg - Köln 2:0
    Latest results of Freiburg
    18.01.2026 Augsburg - Freiburg 2:2
    14.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 2:0
    10.01.2026 Freiburg - Hamburger SV 2:1
    20.12.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 3:4
    Latest results of Köln
    17.01.2026 Köln - Mainz 2:1
    14.01.2026 Köln - Bayern Munich 1:3
    10.01.2026 Heidenheim - Köln 2:2
    05.01.2026 Lugano - Köln 1:2
    20.12.2025 Köln - Union Berlin 0:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Bundesliga (Relegation)
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