Result
2:1
17/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 18
- Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Startimes Sports Focus |
 Albania | Tring Sport 5 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 2 |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (375/475) | 67% (196/294) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (375/475) | 67% (196/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (29/66) | 40% (27/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (112/164) | 56% (61/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (5/32) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.56 | 2.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Martel E. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Bell S. ⚽, da Costa D. (A),
- 43', Lee Jae-Sung 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Martel E. ↓, Krauss T. ↑,
- 46', Johannesson I. ↓, Ache R. ↑,
- 46', Ozkacar C. ↓, Lund K. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Ache R. ⚽, Castro-Montes A. (A),
- 61', Silas ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
- 61', Widmer S. 🟨,
- 72', Bulter M. 🟨,
- 72', Tietz P. 🟨,
- 72', El Mala S. 🟨,
- 72', Batz D. 🟨,
- 73', Maina L. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
- 74', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Boving W. ↑,
- 74', Bell S. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
- 83', Castro-Montes A. ↓, Thielmann J. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Ache R. ⚽,
- 87', Krauss T. 🟨,
- 90', Sano K. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
- 90', Nebel P. ↓, Moreno Fell F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Köln
44.7% | Draw
27.7% | Mainz
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Köln - Mainz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.06) |
3.43 ↓
(3.66) |
3.43 ↑
(3.41) |
5.2%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Köln - Mainz?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 18 - 52.9%). Mainz will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 26.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 36.1% – 69.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Köln (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Köln (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Köln will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Mainz (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.
- Köln is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mainz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mainz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Köln might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Köln: Hubers T.
(Knee Injury)
Kilian L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mainz: Caci A.
(Thigh Injury)
Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Hanche-Olsen A.
(Injury)
Hollerbach B.
(Illness)
Leitsch M.
(Muscle Injury)
Mwene P.
(Muscle Injury)
Veratschnig N.
(Injury)
Weiper N.
(Illness)
Zentner R.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Köln: Schmied J.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Köln won against Mainz?
Köln has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Köln?
Mainz has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - Mainz were as follows:
24.08.2025
Mainz
-
Köln
0:1
28.04.2024
Mainz
-
Köln
1:1
10.12.2023
Köln
-
Mainz
0:0
15.04.2023
Köln
-
Mainz
1:1
21.10.2022
Mainz
-
Köln
5:0
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 113:32 | 81 | 82 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 65:31 | 34 | 67 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 62:38 | 24 | 62 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 63:43 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 61:45 | 16 | 57 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 62:42 | 20 | 55 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 56:58 | -2 | 43 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 44:52 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 39:55 | -16 | 37 |
| 10 | Mainz | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 34 |
| 11 | B. Monchengladbach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 32 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 36:54 | -18 | 32 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 35:55 | -20 | 32 |
| 14 | FC Koln | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 31 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26:53 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 41:66 | -25 | 25 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35:66 | -31 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
