Result
1:0
11/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 6
- Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Canal+, RTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
Denmark | Disney+ |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 7 |
Germany | RTL, RTL+ |
Greece | ANT 1+ |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 7 |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, RTL, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Thailand | beIN Connect |
Turkey | Tabii |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (462/532) | 80% (295/371) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (462/532) | 80% (295/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (21/37) | 34% (15/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (164/199) | 55% (32/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Ratkov P. 🟥,
- 45+1', Lainer S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bischoff C. ↓, Trummer T. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 0, Lienhart P. ⚽,
- 63', Diabate S. ↓, Yeo M. K. ↑,
- 70', Treu P. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
- 70', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
- 76', Vertessen Y. ↓, Alajbegovic K. ↑,
- 76', Baidoo E. ↓, Konate K. ↑,
- 78', Grifo V. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
- 78', Lienhart P. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
- 80', Kubler L. 🟨,
- 85', Manzambi J. ↓, Osterhage P. ↑,
- 89', Lainer S. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
- 90', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Freiburg 66.9% | Draw 19.4% | Red Bull Salzburg 13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Freiburg - Red Bull Salzburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.42 ↓ (1.44) |
4.9 ↑ (4.78) |
7 ↑ (6.41) |
5% (6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Red Bull Salzburg?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 31 - 79.5%). Salzburg will win (votes: 5 - 12.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 66.8% – 92.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Salzburg (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Freiburg (1.62) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -1.25 - Freiburg (2.00) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Salzburg (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Salzburg has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Freiburg is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There will not play in Salzburg: Chase A.
(Inactive)
Gourna-Douath L.
(Inactive)
Kawamura T.
(Knee Injury)
Kjaergaard M.
(Calf Injury)
Mellberg J.
(Knee Injury)
Omoregie J.
(Inactive)
Sulzbacher V.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E.
(Muscle Injury)
Irie C.
(Illness)
Makengo J.
(Muscle Injury)
Rosenfelder M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Salzburg: Douglas Mendes
(Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Red Bull Salzburg?
Freiburg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Salzburg won against Freiburg?
Red Bull Salzburg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Red Bull Salzburg were as follows:
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 2 |
| 3 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |