Result
07/05/2026 at 06:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Fremantle Dockers
53.1% | Hawthorn Hawks
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fremantle Dockers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fremantle Dockers than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fremantle Dockers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawthorn Hawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.97) |
|
2 ↑
(1.85) |
8.1%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fremantle won 4.
- Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
- Hawthorn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Hawthorn has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- We predict that Fremantle will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Fremantle won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1374:1540. (average 72.3:81.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fremantle won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 711:704. (average 79:78.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fremantle Dockers won against Hawthorn Hawks?
Fremantle Dockers has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Fremantle Dockers?
Hawthorn Hawks has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
12.07.2025
Fremantle Dockers
-
Hawthorn Hawks
77:64
12.07.2024
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Fremantle Dockers
87:74
25.08.2023
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Fremantle Dockers
56:93
06.05.2023
Fremantle Dockers
-
Hawthorn Hawks
117:48
Latest results of Fremantle Dockers
Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
AFL Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
| 1 | Sydney Swans | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 945:571 | 165.50 | 28 |
| 2 | Fremantle Dockers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 758:570 | 132.98 | 28 |
| 3 | Hawthorn Hawks | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 829:684 | 121.20 | 26 |
| 4 | Brisbane Lions | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 862:684 | 126.02 | 20 |
| 5 | Gold Coast Suns | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 806:695 | 115.97 | 20 |
| 6 | Geelong Cats | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 791:690 | 114.64 | 20 |
| 7 | Melbourne Demons | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 811:809 | 100.25 | 20 |
| 8 | Collingwood Magpies | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 666:613 | 108.65 | 18 |
| 9 | St Kilda Saints | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 765:666 | 114.86 | 16 |
| 10 | North Melbourne | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 764:720 | 106.11 | 16 |
| 11 | Adelaide Crows | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 685:709 | 96.61 | 16 |
| 12 | Western Bulldogs | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 720:787 | 91.49 | 16 |
| 13 | Port Adelaide Power | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 703:634 | 110.88 | 12 |
| 14 | GWS Giants | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 668:757 | 88.24 | 12 |
| 15 | West Coast Eagles | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 557:939 | 59.32 | 8 |
| 16 | Carlton Blues | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 634:812 | 78.08 | 4 |
| 17 | Essendon Bombers | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 649:925 | 70.16 | 4 |
| 18 | Richmond Tigers | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 523:871 | 60.05 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )
