Melbourne Demons vs Fremantle Dockers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Melbourne Demons - Fremantle Dockers
Result
107:97
18/04/2025 at 23:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 2

Match Stats

Goals
1614
Behinds
1113
Kicks
227186
Handballs
163141
Disposals
390327
Frees For
2119
Frees Against
1921
Clearances Completed
3734
Marks
10780
Tackles
5945
Hitouts
3725

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (37 - 26)
  • 02:58, Brayshaw A. (G),
  • 05:02, Pickett K. (G),
  • 07:04, Petty H. (G),
  • 08:31, Rivers T. (G),
  • 11:26, Bolton S. (G),
  • 12:45, Reid M. (G),
  • 17:16, Petty H. (G),
  • 18:58, Melksham J. (Behind),
  • 22:53, Reid M. (Behind),
  • 24:54, Petracca C. (G),
  • 28:41, Frederick M. (Behind),
  • 30:25, Treacy J. (G),
  • 31:33, Viney J. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (37 - 27)
  • 01:04, Chandler K. (G),
  • 04:08, Darcy S. (G),
  • 05:37, Chandler K. (G),
  • 07:44, Pickett K. (G),
  • 08:54, Pickett K. (G),
  • 10:45, Reid M. (Behind),
  • 12:17, Amiss J. (G),
  • 14:03, Sharp J. (G),
  • 17:16, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 19:03, Frederick M. (Behind),
  • 22:03, Bolton S. (G),
  • 25:16, Pickett K. (G),
  • 28:22, Sharp J. (Behind),
  • 32:30, Petty H. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (21 - 23)
  • 00:35, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 03:26, Mcdonald O. (G),
  • 06:27, Sharp J. (Behind),
  • 08:25, Amiss J. (Behind),
  • 09:55, Pickett K. (G),
  • 16:13, Bolton S. (G),
  • 17:36, Spargo C. (Behind),
  • 19:14, Sharp J. (Behind),
  • 19:56, (Behind Rushed),
  • 21:15, Langford H. (G),
  • 22:34, Bolton S. (Behind),
  • 25:07, Petracca C. (Behind),
  • 27:21, Dudley I. (G),
  • 29:32, Petty H. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (12 - 21)
  • 02:42, Gawn M. (Behind),
  • 06:01, (Behind Rushed),
  • 10:01, Treacy J. (Behind),
  • 13:48, Viney J. (Behind),
  • 14:19, Amiss J. (Behind),
  • 15:58, Amiss J. (G),
  • 17:54, Amiss J. (G),
  • 20:53, Langford H. (G),
  • 24:16, Sparrow T. (Behind),
  • 25:41, Gawn M. (Behind),
  • 26:25, Melksham J. (Behind),
  • 27:19, Chandler K. (Behind),
  • 28:20, Darcy S. (G),

Chances of winning


Melbourne Demons
28%
Fremantle Dockers
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Demons's form might have worsened.
  • Fremantle Dockers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fremantle Dockers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (+29.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Demons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fremantle Dockers than the current prediction. (-29.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fremantle Dockers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melbourne Demons - Fremantle Dockers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (2.15)

    1.29
    (1.71)
    7.3%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 167.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-21)

  • Watch this match and AFL with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Soccer Plus
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne won 1.
    • Melbourne has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Fremantle is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Fremantle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Fremantle is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Fremantle to win the game is with odds 1.3.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Melbourne won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 1208:1711 (average 60.4:85.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 790:1047 (average 60.8:80.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Demons - Fremantle Dockers were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Melbourne Demons 109:90
    21.07.2024 Fremantle Dockers - Melbourne Demons 116:66
    01.06.2024 Melbourne Demons - Fremantle Dockers 49:141
    27.05.2023 Melbourne Demons - Fremantle Dockers 72:79
    Latest results of Melbourne Demons
    Latest results of Fremantle Dockers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Adelaide Crows (1)Collingwood Magpies (4)55 : 79
    3Brisbane LionsBye
    4Fremantle Dockers (6)Gold Coast Suns (7)79 : 80
    5Geelong Cats (2)Brisbane Lions (3)112 : 74
    7Adelaide CrowsBye
    8GWS Giants (5)Hawthorn Hawks (8)88 : 107

    Quarter-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)Bye
    2Brisbane Lions (3)Gold Coast Suns (7)100 : 47
    3Geelong Cats (2)Bye
    4Adelaide Crows (1)Hawthorn Hawks (8)67 : 101

    Semi-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)Brisbane Lions (3)
    2Geelong Cats (2)Hawthorn Hawks (8)115 : 85

    Final
    1TBD #1Geelong Cats (2)