Result
2:3
19/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 38
- Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Italy | Sky Sport, Sky Sport Football |
Chances of winning
Ternana 34.9% | Draw 28.2% | Frosinone 37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ternana's performance.Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Frosinone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ternana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frosinone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ternana - Frosinone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.75 ↓ (3.45) |
3.39 ↓ (3.51) |
2.55 ↑ (2.07) |
5.2% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ternana - Frosinone?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Frosinone will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 76.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Ternana has the most likely position - 14 (64.49%), project points - 44, currently - 43, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Frosinone has the most likely position - 1 (100%), project points - 79, currently - 77, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
- This event has quality 34, very small importance 0, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ternana won 0.
- Ternana is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Frosinone is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Ternana won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-19.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Ternana won against Frosinone?
Ternana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against Ternana?
Frosinone has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ternana - Frosinone were as follows:
26.12.2022
Frosinone
-
Ternana
3:0
Latest results of Ternana
Latest results of Frosinone
Draw
Play OutFinal1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |