Ternana vs Frosinone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Ternana - Frosinone
Result
2:3
19/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 38
  • Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySky Sport, Sky Sport Football

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ternana
34.9%
Draw
28.2%
Frosinone
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 26.9% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 26.9% 45.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ternana's performance.
  • Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Frosinone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ternana that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frosinone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ternana - Frosinone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (3.45)
    3.39
    (3.51)
    2.55
    (2.07)
    5.2%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Ternana - Frosinone?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Frosinone will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2%76.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ternana has the most likely position - 14 (64.49%), project points - 44, currently - 43, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Frosinone has the most likely position - 1 (100%), project points - 79, currently - 77, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • This event has quality 34, very small importance 0, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ternana won 0.
    • Ternana is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Frosinone is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Ternana won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-19.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ternana - Frosinone were as follows:
    26.12.2022 Frosinone - Ternana 3:0
    Latest results of Ternana
    13.05.2023 Como - Ternana 3:1
    23.04.2023 Ternana - Venezia 1:4
    16.04.2023 Ternana - Pisa 2:1
    10.04.2023 Brescia - Ternana 1:0
    Latest results of Frosinone
    13.05.2023 Frosinone - Genoa 3:2
    06.05.2023 Pisa - Frosinone 1:3
    01.05.2023 Frosinone - Reggina 3:1
    15.04.2023 Cagliari - Frosinone 0:0
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2