Result
1:3
22/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 32
- Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (219/333) | 56% (142/255) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (219/333) | 56% (142/255) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (28/71) | 23% (15/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (91/155) | 52% (59/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 36 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 77 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 55 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.74 | 0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Raimondo A. ⚽,
- 30', Bracaglia G. 🟨,
- 38', Kvernadze G. 🟨,
- 40', Pecorino E. 🟨,
- 45+1', Gelli F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kvernadze G. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
- 46', Gelli F. ↓, Cichella M. ↑,
- 46', El Kaouakibi H. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
- 50', Monterisi I. 🟨,
- 60', Casiraghi D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', 1 - 1, Pecorino E. ⚽,
- 62', Calo G. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 2, Calo G. ⚽,
- 69', Fini S. ↓, Ghedjemis F. ↑,
- 75', Tait F. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
- 75', Masiello A. ↓, Bordon F. ↑,
- 79', Tronchin S. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
- 80', Raimondo A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 3, Ghedjemis F. ⚽, Cichella M. (A),
- 88', Merkaj S. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
- 89', Koutsoupias I. 🟨,
- 90+2', Calo G. ↓, Gelli J. ↑,
- 90+7', Bordon F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
31.8% | Draw
28.6% | Frosinone
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Südtirol-Alto Adige's form might have worsened.Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Südtirol-Alto Adige, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Frosinone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↑
(2.46) |
3.28 ↓
(3.35) |
2.38 ↓
(2.64) |
6.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Frosinone?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Frosinone will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 26.7% – 80.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Frosinone (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 1 - 50%). Frosinone (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 1.
- Recent performances by Südtirol have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Frosinone is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Südtirol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M.
(Inactive)
Cragno A.
(Injury)
Davi S.
(Inactive)
Molina S.
(Inactive)
Odogwu R.
(Inactive)
Pietrangeli N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Frosinone: Cittadini G.
(Injury)
Corrado N.
(Injury)
Marchizza R.
(Inactive)
Zilli M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Frosinone?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Frosinone has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Frosinone were as follows:
19.09.2025
Frosinone
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:2
25.01.2025
Frosinone
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
0:3
30.10.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Frosinone
1:1
22.04.2023
Frosinone
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
0:0
04.12.2022
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Frosinone
1:1
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Latest results of Frosinone
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
