Fuenlabrada vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Fuenlabrada - Ceuta
Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
19
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
813
Shots on target
19
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
23
Goalkeeper Saves
70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Cantero Y. ,
  • 34', Aguza S. 🟨,
  • 37', Caparros A. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Omoigui C. ,
  • 41', Cantero Y. 🟨,
  • 44', Moyano A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Caparros A. , Almenara G. ,
  • 60', Bellotti M. , Escudero A. ,
  • 66', Rodri , Aquino D. ,
  • 71', Manu , Faure I. ,
  • 78', Barbosa A. , Casas I. ,
  • 86', Jamelli , Herranz Corral V. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Herranz Corral V. ,
  • 90+4', Aquino D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fuenlabrada
29.2%
Draw
29.1%
Ceuta
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 29.9% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 30.1% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Fuenlabrada - Ceuta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.15
    (2.96)
    3.17
    (3.06)
    2.21
    (2.34)
    8.5%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
    • Fuenlabrada has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ceuta is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fuenlabrada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ceuta could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fuenlabrada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Fuenlabrada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fuenlabrada - Ceuta were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Ceuta - Fuenlabrada 1:0
    05.02.2023 Ceuta - Fuenlabrada 1:0
    11.09.2022 Fuenlabrada - Ceuta 2:1
    Latest results of Fuenlabrada
    27.04.2025 Ibiza - Fuenlabrada 2:1
    20.04.2025 Fuenlabrada - Mérida AD 1:1
    13.04.2025 Alcoyano - Fuenlabrada 2:4
    05.04.2025 Fuenlabrada - Marbella 1:1
    Latest results of Ceuta
    03.05.2025 Ceuta - Mérida AD 1:0
    19.04.2025 Ceuta - Marbella 3:1
    12.04.2025 Real Murcia - Ceuta 1:1
    06.04.2025 Ceuta - Alcoyano 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Ibiza32105:327
    2CE Europa31205:415
    3Marbella31203:215
    4Eldense31202:115
    5Gimnastic21104:314
    6FC Cartagena SAD21103:214
    7Villarreal B31114:404
    8Algeciras31112:204
    9Murcia21012:203
    10Alcorcon21012:203
    11Tarazona21011:103
    12Hercules31022:3-13
    13Sabadell20202:202
    14Betis B20202:202
    15Sanluqueno20202:202
    16Teruel30212:3-12
    17Sevilla FC B20112:3-11
    18Atl. Madrid B20112:3-11
    19Antequera20110:1-11
    20Torremolinos20020:2-20

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