Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball NPB Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Result
4:2
08/06/2025 at 00:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB

Match Stats

Hits
57
Errors
01
Home Runs
11
Runs batted in
42
Base on Balls
42
Strikeouts
98
Stolen bases
01
At bat
2433
Batting Average
0.2080.212

Chances of winning


Tokyo Yakult Swallows
38.4%
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 57.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo Yakult Swallows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Yakult Swallows than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.45)

    1.54
    (1.56)
    5.1%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
    • In recent matches, Tokyo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fukuoka is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Fukuoka might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 84:88. (average 4.2:4.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:39. (average 4.3:5.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 1:8
    06.06.2025 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 3:2
    05.03.2025 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 3:1
    04.03.2025 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 3:4
    13.06.2024 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 6:3
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Hanshin Tigers14385454496:3520.612
    2Yokohama BayStars14371666510:4560.518
    3Yomiuri Giants14370469463:4610.504
    4Chunichi Dragons14363278403:4630.447
    5Hiroshima Carp14359579441:4970.428
    6Yakult Swallows14357779443:5640.419


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks14387452551:3890.626
    2Nippon Ham Fighters14383357548:4090.593
    3Orix Buffaloes14374366502:5190.529
    4Rakuten Gold. Eagles14367274446:5260.475
    5Seibu Lions14363377410:4650.450
    6Chiba Lotte Marines14356384441:5530.400

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)