Sumgayit vs Gabala – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Azerbaijan Premier League Sumgayit - Gabala
Result
1:0
25/05/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AZERBAIJAN: Premier League - Round 36

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Musayev M. , Aliyev N. ,
  • 22', Isaiah A. 🟨,
  • 27', Aliev K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Aliev K. , Sorga E. ,
  • 52', 1 - 0, Sorga E. ,
  • 56', 🟨,
  • 61', 🟨,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 83', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sumgayit
63.4%
Draw
21.4%
Gabala
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68% 20% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1% 19.4% 11.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sumgayit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Gabala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sumgayit, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Sumgayit - Gabala Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.34)
    4.29
    (4.55)
    6.02
    (7.65)
    9.3%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Gabala is Relegated to I Liqa
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sumgayit won 2.
    • Sumgayit is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Gabala is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Gabala have a series of home games.
    • In this match Sumgayit is absolute favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Sumgayit won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 15-29.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sumgayit won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-14.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sumgayit - Gabala were as follows:
    23.01.2024 Gabala - Sumgayit 0:1
    29.10.2023 Sumgayit - Gabala 0:0
    19.08.2023 Gabala - Sumgayit 1:2
    23.04.2023 Sumgayit - Gabala 2:3
    18.02.2023 Gabala - Sumgayit 2:1
    Latest results of Sumgayit
    18.05.2024 Sabah - Sumgayit 2:0
    12.05.2024 Sumgayit - Səbail 2:1
    04.05.2024 Kapaz - Sumgayit 1:1
    28.04.2024 Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam 1:0
    19.04.2024 Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit 1:4
    Latest results of Gabala
    19.05.2024 Gabala - Araz Naxçıvan 2:0
    12.05.2024 Gabala - Sabah 2:0
    06.05.2024 Səbail - Gabala 2:3
    28.04.2024 Gabala - Kapaz 0:1
    24.04.2024 Gabala - Zira 0:2
    Azerbaijan Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Qarabag36285386:196789
    2Zira36235859:273274
    3Araz361513834:29558
    4Turan361413945:39655
    5Sabah Baku361018850:46448
    6Neftci Baku3610131339:49-1043
    7Shamakhi36991832:46-1436
    8Sumqayit36962131:53-2233
    9Kapaz36882028:65-3732
    10Sabail364102228:59-3122

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ I Liqa