AIK vs GAIS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 25
  • Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.59
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
65% (191/296)82% (418/512)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.510.50
Total shots
147
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2015
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1219
Passes
65% (191/296)82% (418/512)
Long passes
46% (30/65)34% (20/59)
Passes in final third
51% (62/121)67% (65/97)
Crosses
25% (4/16)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.95
Throw-ins
2228
Fouls
1912
Tackles
67% (12/18)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4665
Clearances
3048
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.500.51
Goals prevented
-0.50-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Diabate I. , Boudri A. (A),
  • 36', Celina B. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Krasniqi M. , Sims K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Celina B. ,
  • 66', Cardaklija A. 🟨,
  • 66', Thychosen M. 🟨,
  • 69', Frej R. , Wangberg A. ,
  • 69', Fagerjord J. , Holmen K. ,
  • 79', Flataker E. , Filling K. ,
  • 80', Ayari T. , Geiger Y. ,
  • 82', Thychosen M. , Ali A. ,
  • 82', Niklasson R. , Kurochkin A. ,
  • 82', Diabate I. , Hedlund L. ,
  • 89', Besirovic D. , Yohanna Z. ,
  • 90', Celina B. , Kouame A. ,

Chances of winning


AIK
32%
Draw
31.9%
GAIS
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 27.8% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 27.5% 29%

AIK - GAIS Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.54
(2.22)
3.28
(3.42)
2.81
(3.25)
-5.7%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AIK - GAIS?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. AIK will win (votes: 9 - 75%). GAIS will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AIK (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AIK won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • AIK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • AIK will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in AIK: Andersson V. (Injury) Ellingsen M. (Leg Injury) Guidetti J. (Inactive) Hove J. (Calf Injury) Nissen F. (Inactive) Redkin A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, AIK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, AIK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AIK - GAIS were as follows:
    31.03.2025 GAIS - AIK 0:1
    29.07.2024 AIK - GAIS 0:1
    22.07.2024 GAIS - AIK 2:0
    Latest results of AIK
    22.09.2025 Norrköping - AIK 3:1
    15.09.2025 AIK - Brommapojkarna 2:1
    31.08.2025 AIK - Sirius 2:1
    24.08.2025 Degerfors - AIK 0:1
    17.08.2025 IFK Göteborg - AIK 2:1
    Latest results of GAIS
    20.09.2025 GAIS - Elfsborg 2:0
    14.09.2025 Sirius - GAIS 3:0
    31.08.2025 GAIS - Häcken 2:1
    25.08.2025 GAIS - Mjällby 0:2
    17.08.2025 Hammarby - GAIS 1:2
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1NorrkopingOrgryte0 : 0, 0 : 3