Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 25
- Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (191/296) | 82% (418/512) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (191/296) | 82% (418/512) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (30/65) | 34% (20/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (62/121) | 67% (65/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Diabate I. ⚽, Boudri A. (A),
- 36', Celina B. 🟨,
- 45+3', Krasniqi M. ↓, Sims K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 1, Celina B. ⚽,
- 66', Cardaklija A. 🟨,
- 66', Thychosen M. 🟨,
- 69', Frej R. ↓, Wangberg A. ↑,
- 69', Fagerjord J. ↓, Holmen K. ↑,
- 79', Flataker E. ↓, Filling K. ↑,
- 80', Ayari T. ↓, Geiger Y. ↑,
- 82', Thychosen M. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
- 82', Niklasson R. ↓, Kurochkin A. ↑,
- 82', Diabate I. ↓, Hedlund L. ↑,
- 89', Besirovic D. ↓, Yohanna Z. ↑,
- 90', Celina B. ↓, Kouame A. ↑,
Chances of winning
AIK
32% | Draw
31.9% | GAIS
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AIK's form might have worsened.GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GAIS's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AIK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GAIS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AIK - GAIS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.54 ↑
(2.22) |
3.28 ↓
(3.42) |
2.81 ↓
(3.25) |
-5.7%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AIK - GAIS?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. AIK will win (votes: 9 - 75%). GAIS will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AIK (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AIK won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- AIK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- AIK will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in AIK: Andersson V.
(Injury)
Ellingsen M.
(Leg Injury)
Guidetti J.
(Inactive)
Hove J.
(Calf Injury)
Nissen F.
(Inactive)
Redkin A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, AIK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, AIK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has AIK won against GAIS?
AIK has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GAIS won against AIK?
GAIS has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AIK - GAIS were as follows:
31.03.2025
GAIS
-
AIK
0:1
29.07.2024
AIK
-
GAIS
0:1
22.07.2024
GAIS
-
AIK
2:0
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 52 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | GAIS | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | AIK | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 26 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Hacken | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Sirius | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | Norrkoping | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 29 |
| 13 | Halmstad | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 21:47 | -26 | 28 |
| 14 | Oster | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27:48 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 32:54 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
