Result
3:1
12/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 2
- Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (276/366) | 79% (358/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (276/366) | 79% (358/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (28/68) | 33% (18/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (79/125) | 66% (90/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 88% (15/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -1.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 10', Bawa M. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Jansson P. ⚽, Stryger J. (A),
- 37', 2 - 0, Sjostrand O. ⚽,
- 42', 3 - 0, Rosengren O. ⚽, Rosler C. (A),
- 45', Ali T. 🟨,
- 45', Milovanovic W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Bawa M. ↓, Thorkelsson R. ↑,
- 58', Cardaklija A. ↓, Wangberg A. ↑,
- 58', de Brienne M. ↓, Wendin R. ↑,
- 63', Ramirez M. 🟨,
- 67', Fagerjord J. 🟨,
- 68', Sjostrand O. ↓, Skogmar A. ↑,
- 68', Stryger J. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 71', Salter S. ↓, Ekong S. ↑,
- 74', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Sigurdsson A. ↑,
- 74', Lundbergh T. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
- 80', Pettersson O. ↓, Asumang B. ↑,
- 85', Rosler C. ↓, Djuric A. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Ekong S. ⚽, Milovanovic W. (A),
Chances of winning
Malmö
53.9% | Draw
24.3% | GAIS
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malmö's performance.GAIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GAIS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malmö that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GAIS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Malmö - GAIS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(2.02) |
3.85 ↑
(3.82) |
4.33 ↑
(3.32) |
6.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Malmö - GAIS?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 50.6% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- GAIS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, GAIS has had a series of home games.
- Malmö is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Malmö: Busanello
(Inactive)
Ekong E.
(Inactive)
Frejd Palsson M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in GAIS: Beckman F.
(Inactive)
Hedlund L.
(Inactive)
Krasniqi M.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against GAIS?
Malmö has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GAIS won against Malmö?
GAIS has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malmö - GAIS were as follows:
09.11.2025
Malmö
-
GAIS
2:1
05.07.2025
GAIS
-
Malmö
0:0
18.09.2024
GAIS
-
Malmö
0:0
16.05.2024
Malmö
-
GAIS
1:0
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sirius | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Elfsborg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Hacken | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Hammarby | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 8 |
| 6 | Vasteras SK | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Degerfors | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | AIK | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Mjallby | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 12 | Orgryte | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Kalmar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Goteborg | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | GAIS | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
