Result
0:3
19/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 16
- Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (348/425) | 78% (308/395) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (348/425) | 78% (308/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/60) | 36% (21/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (81/123) | 62% (69/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, de Brienne M. ⚽, Niklasson R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', 0 - 2, Pikkarainen J. (Own goal),
- 55', Milovanovic W. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 3, Diabate I. ⚽,
- 64', Faraj O. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
- 64', Barsoum E. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
- 65', Hien L. 🟨,
- 72', Holmen K. ↓, Aberg J. ↑,
- 72', Niklasson R. ↓, Becirovic E. ↑,
- 72', Lindell E. ↓, Salifu Z. ↑,
- 72', Diaby M. ↓, Heden A. ↑,
- 74', Henriksson A. 🟨,
- 84', Hien L. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
- 86', Henriksson A. ↓, Thorkelsson R. ↑,
- 86', Diabate I. ↓, Bengtsson D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Degerfors
22.1% | Draw
25.2% | GAIS
52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GAIS's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Degerfors - GAIS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.28 ↑
(3.48) |
3.74 ↑
(3.6) |
1.8 ↓
(2.02) |
5.6%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Degerfors - GAIS?
Users Predictions:
GAIS will win
(57 of 61 users predict this - 93.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.23% – 99.65%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): GAIS will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 1.
- Degerfors is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- GAIS is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, GAIS is the team to beat.
- There will not play in GAIS: Amatkarijo C.
(Inactive)
Ibrahim H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Degerfors: Kassi L.
(Inactive)
Morgado B.
(Inactive)
- We predict that GAIS will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Degerfors won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Degerfors won against GAIS?
Degerfors has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GAIS won against Degerfors?
GAIS has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Degerfors - GAIS were as follows:
13.04.2025
GAIS
-
Degerfors
2:0
24.02.2024
Degerfors
-
GAIS
2:2
09.02.2023
GAIS
-
Degerfors
1:0
Latest results of Degerfors
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 38:15 | 23 | 46 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 36:16 | 20 | 42 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 36 |
| 4 | AIK | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | Malmo FF | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 33 |
| 6 | GAIS | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29:16 | 13 | 32 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 27 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 30:30 | 0 | 23 |
| 10 | Hacken | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26:33 | -7 | 23 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 29:37 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15:36 | -21 | 18 |
| 13 | Sirius | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 17 |
| 14 | Oster | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14:25 | -11 | 15 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18:39 | -21 | 15 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
