Result
0:2
25/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 21
- Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (411/486) | 84% (359/428) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (411/486) | 84% (359/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (28/48) | 63% (25/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (151/189) | 75% (68/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.04 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Noren A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Pettersson T. ↓, Miettinen T. ↑,
- 46', Becirovic E. ↓, Holmen K. ↑,
- 57', Arrhenius R. ↓, Thorell L. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Manneh A. ⚽,
- 66', Manneh A. ↓, Stavitski T. ↑,
- 66', Kjaer J. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,
- 69', Hedlund L. ↓, Ekong S. ↑,
- 69', Fagerjord J. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
- 75', Wendin R. ↓, de Brienne M. ↑,
- 83', Wangberg A. ↓, Thorkelsson R. ↑,
- 84', Stroud E. ↓, Johansson A. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 2, Johansson H. ⚽, Gustafson V. (A),
- 90+1', Iqbal A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
GAIS 39.7% | Draw 27.7% | Mjällby 32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
GAIS - Mjällby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↓ (2.6) |
3.4 (3.4) |
2.89 ↑ (2.6) |
6.1% (6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for GAIS - Mjällby?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. GAIS will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Mjällby will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mjällby: 38.6% – 79.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mjällby will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GAIS won 1.
- GAIS is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mjällby is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mjällby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in GAIS: Cardaklija A.
(Inactive)
Diabate I.
(Yellow Cards)
Milovanovic W.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mjällby: Gustavsson J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Mjällby: Bang-Kittilsen B.
(Inactive)
Isaksson M.
(Inactive)
Stavitski T.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, GAIS won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, GAIS won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has GAIS won against Mjällby?
GAIS has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mjällby won against GAIS?
Mjällby has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GAIS - Mjällby were as follows:
06.04.2025
Mjällby
-
GAIS
1:1
26.10.2024
Mjällby
-
GAIS
1:1
21.04.2024
GAIS
-
Mjällby
2:1
Latest results of Mjällby
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 49:17 | 32 | 66 |
| 2 | Hammarby ✔ | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | GAIS | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 41:27 | 14 | 48 |
| 4 | Malmo FF | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | AIK | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 35:29 | 6 | 44 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43:29 | 14 | 42 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 45:41 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | Hacken | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Halmstad | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 22:47 | -25 | 31 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Sirius | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Norrkoping | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 | Oster | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:42 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 27:49 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo ✔ | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 33:55 | -22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mjallby is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hammarby is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Varnamo is Relegated to Superettan