Mjällby vs GAIS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Mjällby - GAIS
Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 2
  • Referee: Ostling J. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkDiscovery+
finlandFinlandMax
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.120.70
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
80% (377/472)69% (243/352)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
3.120.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.301.05
Total shots
187
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
101
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
4113
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1912
Passes
80% (377/472)69% (243/352)
Long passes
39% (21/54)17% (9/54)
Passes in final third
63% (87/139)59% (68/115)
Crosses
29% (7/24)0% (0/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.040.20
Fouls
1219
Tackles
57% (12/21)77% (17/22)
Duels won
7356
Clearances Total
2943
Interceptions
1511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.051.30
Goals prevented
0.050.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Gustavsson J. 🟨,
  • 42', Agren O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', Boudri A. , Amatkarijo C. ,
  • 61', Hedlund L. , Diabate I. ,
  • 63', Gustafson V. , Thorell L. ,
  • 63', Johansson A. , Bergstrom J. ,
  • 71', Milovanovic W. , Holmen K. ,
  • 74', Thorell L. 🟨,
  • 81', Stroud E. , Kabuye C. ,
  • 88', Ibrahim H. , Niklasson R. ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Diabate I. , Niklasson R. (A),
  • 90+4', Frej R. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 1 - 1, Pettersson T. , Rojkjaer N. (A),

Chances of winning


Mjällby
47.7%
Draw
28%
GAIS
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 26.8% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 26.3% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • GAIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Mjällby - GAIS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.09)
    3.38
    (3.54)
    3.89
    (3.43)
    5.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mjällby - GAIS?
  • Users Predictions: Mjällby will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mjällby will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mjällby won 3.
    • Mjällby is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches GAIS is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Mjällby have a series of home games.
    • Mjällby will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Mjällby: Petersson A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in GAIS: Aberg J. (Hip Injury) Chika C. (Illness) Sims K. (Rest) Wendin R. (Illness)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Mjällby won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mjällby won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mjällby - GAIS were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Mjällby - GAIS 1:1
    21.04.2024 GAIS - Mjällby 2:1
    Latest results of Mjällby
    30.03.2025 Elfsborg - Mjällby 2:2
    22.03.2025 Mjällby - Trelleborg 4:0
    12.03.2025 Mjällby - Landskrona 2:0
    08.03.2025 Mjällby - Häcken 0:1
    02.03.2025 Mjällby - Halmstad 3:0
    Latest results of GAIS
    31.03.2025 GAIS - AIK 0:1
    20.03.2025 Elfsborg - GAIS 1:2
    02.03.2025 GAIS - Norrköping 0:3
    21.02.2025 Karlberg - GAIS 0:2
    15.02.2025 GAIS - Örebro 4:1
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby18134135:142143
    2Hammarby18123334:161839
    3Malmo FF1896328:141433
    4AIK1896324:16833
    5Elfsborg17102531:22932
    6GAIS1787227:131431
    7Djurgarden1774621:18325
    8Goteborg1781824:26-225
    9Hacken1764725:31-622
    10Brommapojkarna17611023:25-219
    11Norrkoping1754825:29-419
    12Halmstad17521014:34-2017
    13Degerfors17421118:36-1814
    14Sirius17341022:30-813
    15Oster17341012:23-1113
    16Varnamo17141215:31-167

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan