Result
2:2
02/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 18
- Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.81 | 1.72 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 29 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 9 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
69% (238/347) | 83% (398/477) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.81 | 1.72 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.06 | 1.64 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 29 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 10 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 16 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 13 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
10 | 47 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
69% (238/347) | 83% (398/477) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (28/78) | 46% (22/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
56% (50/90) | 72% (153/212) |
Crosses |
---|
0% (0/13) | 16% (5/32) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.38 | 1.93 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
68% (13/19) | 94% (16/17) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
41 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.64 | 1.06 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.36 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Antonsson M. ⚽, Zeljkovic A. (A),
- 5', 1 - 1, Holmen K. ⚽,
- 16', Mohammed R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Coulibaly S. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
- 58', Agren O. 🟨,
- 67', Ibrahim H. ↓, Becirovic E. ↑,
- 69', Shamoun N. ↓, Liimatta O. ↑,
- 69', Johansson C. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Liimatta O. ⚽,
- 75', Agren O. ↓, Frej R. ↑,
- 75', Niklasson R. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
- 75', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Lindberg J. ⚽, Lundgren G. (A),
- 87', Alsalkhadi M. ↓, Cibicki P. ↑,
- 89', Boudri A. ↓, Thorkelsson R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Värnamo 19.2% | Draw 24% | GAIS 56.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GAIS's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-5%)
Värnamo - GAIS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.89 ↑ (4.04) |
3.9 ↑ (3.6) |
1.67 ↓ (1.89) |
6.1% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Värnamo - GAIS?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
GAIS will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): GAIS will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 1.
- Värnamo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- GAIS is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, GAIS is the team to beat.
- There are questionable in Värnamo: Bjornstrom A.
(Injury)
Lohikangas A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against GAIS?
Värnamo has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GAIS won against Värnamo?
GAIS has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Värnamo - GAIS were as follows:
10.05.2025
GAIS
-
Värnamo
1:1
20.10.2024
GAIS
-
Värnamo
0:0
08.04.2024
Värnamo
-
GAIS
1:2
30.08.2022
GAIS
-
Värnamo
3:1
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Mjallby | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 39:16 | 23 | 47 |
2 | Hammarby | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 37:18 | 19 | 42 |
3 | Malmo FF | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
4 | Elfsborg | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 36:27 | 9 | 36 |
5 | GAIS | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 31:17 | 14 | 35 |
6 | AIK | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 34 |
7 | Goteborg | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 34 |
8 | Djurgarden | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Brommapojkarna | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 32:34 | -2 | 23 |
10 | Hacken | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26:35 | -9 | 23 |
11 | Norrkoping | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 31:38 | -7 | 22 |
12 | Sirius | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 20 |
13 | Oster | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16:25 | -9 | 18 |
14 | Halmstad | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15:40 | -25 | 18 |
15 | Degerfors | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20:42 | -22 | 15 |
16 | Varnamo | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 22:37 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan