Värnamo vs GAIS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Värnamo - GAIS
Result
2:2
02/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 18
  • Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.72
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1029
Shots on target
39
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
69% (238/347)83% (398/477)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.061.64
Total shots
1029
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
410
Shots inside the Box
416
Shots outside the Box
613
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1047
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
99
Passes
69% (238/347)83% (398/477)
Long passes
36% (28/78)46% (22/48)
Passes in final third
56% (50/90)72% (153/212)
Crosses
0% (0/13)16% (5/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.381.93
Throw-ins
2727
Fouls
99
Tackles
68% (13/19)94% (16/17)
Duels won
4449
Clearances
4132
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
1.641.06
Goals prevented
-0.36-0.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Antonsson M. , Zeljkovic A. (A),
  • 5', 1 - 1, Holmen K. ,
  • 16', Mohammed R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Coulibaly S. , Andersson H. ,
  • 58', Agren O. 🟨,
  • 67', Ibrahim H. , Becirovic E. ,
  • 69', Shamoun N. , Liimatta O. ,
  • 69', Johansson C. , Kujundzic A. ,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Liimatta O. ,
  • 75', Agren O. , Frej R. ,
  • 75', Niklasson R. , Lindberg J. ,
  • 75', Zeljkovic A. , Bilalovic K. ,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Lindberg J. , Lundgren G. (A),
  • 87', Alsalkhadi M. , Cibicki P. ,
  • 89', Boudri A. , Thorkelsson R. ,

Chances of winning


Värnamo
19.2%
Draw
24%
GAIS
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 26.3% 50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7% 25.5% 51.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GAIS's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Värnamo - GAIS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.89
    (4.04)
    3.9
    (3.6)
    1.67
    (1.89)
    6.1%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Värnamo - GAIS?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: GAIS will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): GAIS will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 1.
    • Värnamo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • GAIS is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, GAIS is the team to beat.
    • There are questionable in Värnamo: Bjornstrom A. (Injury) Lohikangas A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Värnamo - GAIS were as follows:
    10.05.2025 GAIS - Värnamo 1:1
    20.10.2024 GAIS - Värnamo 0:0
    08.04.2024 Värnamo - GAIS 1:2
    30.08.2022 GAIS - Värnamo 3:1
    Latest results of Värnamo
    27.07.2025 Värnamo - Hammarby 2:3
    21.07.2025 Norrköping - Värnamo 3:1
    13.07.2025 Värnamo - Djurgården 1:0
    05.07.2025 Hammarby - Värnamo 1:0
    29.06.2025 Värnamo - Elfsborg 0:0
    Latest results of GAIS
    26.07.2025 GAIS - Halmstad 3:0
    19.07.2025 Degerfors - GAIS 0:3
    13.07.2025 GAIS - Hammarby 3:2
    05.07.2025 GAIS - Malmö 0:0
    29.06.2025 Häcken - GAIS 1:3
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby20145139:162347
    2Hammarby20133437:181942
    3Malmo FF20106433:171636
    4Elfsborg20113636:27936
    5GAIS2098331:171435
    6AIK2097425:18734
    7Goteborg20111830:27334
    8Djurgarden2077623:20328
    9Brommapojkarna20721132:34-223
    10Hacken2065926:35-923
    11Norrkoping20641031:38-722
    12Sirius20551028:33-520
    13Oster20461016:25-918
    14Halmstad20531215:40-2518
    15Degerfors20431320:42-2215
    16Varnamo20261222:37-1512

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan