Result
2:2
02/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 18
- Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (238/347) | 83% (398/477) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 47 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (238/347) | 83% (398/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (28/78) | 46% (22/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (50/90) | 72% (153/212) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/13) | 16% (5/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 94% (16/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Antonsson M. ⚽, Zeljkovic A. (A),
- 5', 1 - 1, Holmen K. ⚽,
- 16', Mohammed R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Coulibaly S. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
- 58', Agren O. 🟨,
- 67', Ibrahim H. ↓, Becirovic E. ↑,
- 69', Shamoun N. ↓, Liimatta O. ↑,
- 69', Johansson C. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Liimatta O. ⚽,
- 75', Agren O. ↓, Frej R. ↑,
- 75', Niklasson R. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
- 75', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Lindberg J. ⚽, Lundgren G. (A),
- 87', Alsalkhadi M. ↓, Cibicki P. ↑,
- 89', Boudri A. ↓, Thorkelsson R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Värnamo
19.2% | Draw
24% | GAIS
56.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GAIS's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-5%)
Värnamo - GAIS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.89 ↑
(4.04) |
3.9 ↑
(3.6) |
1.67 ↓
(1.89) |
6.1%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Värnamo - GAIS?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
GAIS will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): GAIS will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 1.
- Värnamo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- GAIS is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, GAIS is the team to beat.
- There are questionable in Värnamo: Bjornstrom A.
(Injury)
Lohikangas A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against GAIS?
Värnamo has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GAIS won against Värnamo?
GAIS has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Värnamo - GAIS were as follows:
10.05.2025
GAIS
-
Värnamo
1:1
20.10.2024
GAIS
-
Värnamo
0:0
08.04.2024
Värnamo
-
GAIS
1:2
30.08.2022
GAIS
-
Värnamo
3:1
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 49:17 | 32 | 66 |
| 2 | Hammarby ✔ | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | GAIS | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 41:27 | 14 | 48 |
| 4 | Malmo FF | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | AIK | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 35:29 | 6 | 44 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43:29 | 14 | 42 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 45:41 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | Hacken | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Halmstad | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 22:47 | -25 | 31 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Sirius | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Norrkoping | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 | Oster | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:42 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 27:49 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo ✔ | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 33:55 | -22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mjallby is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hammarby is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Varnamo is Relegated to Superettan
