Result
2:1
08/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Garcia S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 1, Pastor F. ⚽,
- 68', 2 - 1, Figueroa A. G. d. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Galapagar
45.7% | Draw
34.8% | Carabanchel
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Galapagar's performance.Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carabanchel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Galapagar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carabanchel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Galapagar - Carabanchel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.32) |
3.36 ↑
(3) |
6 ↑
(2.97) |
-14.5%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galapagar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Galapagar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Galapagar won against Carabanchel?
Galapagar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carabanchel won against Galapagar?
Carabanchel has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Galapagar - Carabanchel were as follows:
26.10.2025
Carabanchel
-
Galapagar
1:0
26.01.2025
Carabanchel
-
Galapagar
2:0
15.09.2024
Galapagar
-
Carabanchel
1:0
Latest results of Galapagar
Latest results of Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 66:36 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Las Rozas | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 47:29 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | CD Mostoles | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 43:31 | 12 | 48 |
| 4 | AD Torrejon | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 44:37 | 7 | 45 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 49:24 | 25 | 44 |
| 6 | Trival Valderas | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:31 | 6 | 43 |
| 7 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Union Adarve | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 37 |
| 10 | Mexico FC | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:34 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Galapagar | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 28:35 | -7 | 36 |
| 12 | Villaverde San Andres | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 24:28 | -4 | 32 |
| 14 | Siello | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 26:38 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Tres Cantos | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 24:47 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Carabanchel | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 21:27 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Parla | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 25 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
