Galatasaray vs Liverpool – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Galatasaray - Liverpool
Result
1:0
30/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2, V Sport Premium
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free, New World TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandPremier Sports 1 ROI
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalySky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoTDM TV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, Space Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 5
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandCanal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.78
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
68% (180/266)87% (460/529)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.960.69
Total shots
916
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
411
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1734
Accurate through passes
13
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
68% (180/266)87% (460/529)
Long passes
36% (23/64)50% (26/52)
Passes in final third
49% (34/70)75% (107/142)
Crosses
13% (1/8)30% (8/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.452.27
Throw-ins
1320
Fouls
1214
Tackles
36% (9/25)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5845
Clearances
2929
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.690.96
Goals prevented
0.69-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Osimhen V. (Pen),
  • 36', Lemina M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Gravenberch R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Alisson ↓, Mamardashvili G. ↑,
  • 61', Bardakci A. 🟨,
  • 62', Gakpo C. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
  • 62', Gravenberch R. ↓, Isak A. ↑,
  • 62', Frimpong J. ↓, Bradley C. ↑,
  • 68', Ekitike H. ↓, Mac Allister A. ↑,
  • 72', Osimhen V. ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
  • 72', Akgun Y. ↓, Sallai R. ↑,
  • 73', Bradley C. 🟨,
  • 75', Gundogan I. ↓, Gabriel Sara ↑,
  • 76', Jakobs I. 🟨,
  • 76', Icardi M. 🟨,
  • 85', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Elmali E. ↑,
  • 88', Cakir U. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Wirtz F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Galatasaray
28.6%		Draw
29.6%		Liverpool
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.5% 22.2% 55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22% 21.7% 56.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Galatasaray's performance.
  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liverpool might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Galatasaray that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Galatasaray - Liverpool Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.33 ↑
    (4.22)    		 4.28 ↑
    (4.27)    		 3.42 ↑
    (1.72)    		 -24.3%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Galatasaray - Liverpool?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (100 of 116 users predict this - 86.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.94% – 92.48%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Liverpool will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Liverpool may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Liverpool is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Galatasaray: Gurpuz G. (Inactive) Karatas K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Chiesa F. (Knock) Danns J. (Muscle Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Galatasaray: Osimhen V. (Health problems)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    26.09.2025 Alanyaspor - Galatasaray 0:1 ✺
    22.09.2025 Galatasaray - Konyaspor 3:1 ✺
    18.09.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Galatasaray 5:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Eyüpspor - Galatasaray 0:2 ✺
    30.08.2025 Galatasaray - Çaykur Rizespor 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Liverpool
    27.09.2025 Crystal Palace - Liverpool 2:1 ✺
    23.09.2025 Liverpool - Southampton 2:1 ✺
    20.09.2025 Liverpool - Everton 2:1 ✺
    17.09.2025 Liverpool - Atlético Madrid 3:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Burnley - Liverpool 0:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG330013:3109
    2Bayern Munich330012:2109
    3Inter33009:099
    4Arsenal33008:089
    5Real Madrid33008:179
    6Dortmund321012:757
    7Manchester City32106:247
    8Newcastle32018:266
    9Barcelona32019:456
    10Liverpool32018:446
    11Chelsea32017:436
    12Sporting CP32017:436
    13Qarabag32016:516
    14Galatasaray32015:6-16
    15Tottenham31203:215
    16PSV31118:624
    17Atalanta31112:5-34
    18Marseille31026:423
    19Atl. Madrid31027:8-13
    20Club Brugge KV31025:7-23
    21Ath Bilbao31024:7-33
    22Eintracht Frankfurt31027:11-43
    23Napoli31024:9-53
    24Royale Union SG31023:9-63
    25Juventus30216:7-12
    26Bodo/Glimt30215:7-22
    27Monaco30213:6-32
    28Slavia Prague30212:5-32
    29Pafos30211:5-42
    30Bayer Leverkusen30215:10-52
    31Villarreal30122:5-31
    32FC Copenhagen30124:8-41
    33Olympiacos Piraeus30121:8-71
    34Kairat Almaty30121:9-81
    35Benfica30032:7-50
    36Ajax30031:11-100

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