Result
3:2
05/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 15
- Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, TOD |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (454/516) | 83% (310/375) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (454/516) | 83% (310/375) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (30/50) | 53% (17/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (69/89) | 75% (90/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Sane L. ⚽, Torreira L. (A),
- 29', 2 - 0, Osimhen V. ⚽, Sane L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Aydin E. ↓, Ntcham O. ↑,
- 46', Lemina M. ↓, Unyay A. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 1, Musaba A. ⚽, Kilinc E. (A),
- 68', Gundogan I. ↓, Akgun Y. ↑,
- 81', Tomasson L. ↓, Marius ↑,
- 83', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
- 84', Gabriel Sara ↓, Kutlu B. ↑,
- 87', Kutlu B. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 2, Kilinc E. ⚽,
- 90+1', Unyay A. ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
- 90+1', Ndiaye C. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Osimhen V. ⚽, Akgun Y. (A),
- 90+8', Kilinc E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Galatasaray
62.7% | Draw
21.4% | Samsunspor
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galatasaray, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Galatasaray - Samsunspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.44) |
4.44 ↓
(4.75) |
5.96 ↓
(6.6) |
5.7%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Galatasaray - Samsunspor?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 29 - 74.4%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 3 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 60.7% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Galatasaray (2.34) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Galatasaray will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 19 - 95%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).
- Galatasaray has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Samsunspor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Galatasaray is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Galatasaray: Baltaci M.
(Suspended)
Elmali E.
(Suspended)
Jakobs I.
(Injury)
Singo W.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Coulibaly T.
(Knee Injury)
Mendes J.
(Red Card)
Ntcham O.
(Hamstring Injury)
Satka L.
(Injury)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
Yuksel C.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Samsunspor: Ceesay E.
(Injury)
Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Galatasaray won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Galatasaray won against Samsunspor?
Galatasaray has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Galatasaray?
Samsunspor has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Galatasaray - Samsunspor were as follows:
11.04.2025
Samsunspor
-
Galatasaray
0:2
10.11.2024
Galatasaray
-
Samsunspor
3:2
02.02.2024
Samsunspor
-
Galatasaray
0:2
16.09.2023
Galatasaray
-
Samsunspor
4:2
Latest results of Galatasaray
Latest results of Samsunspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 58:18 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 24 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 54:23 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 21:45 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
