Galatasaray vs Samsunspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
05/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 15
  • Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, TOD
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungarySport 2
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.36
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
88% (454/516)83% (310/375)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.561.24
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
2328
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
107
Passes
88% (454/516)83% (310/375)
Long passes
60% (30/50)53% (17/32)
Passes in final third
78% (69/89)75% (90/120)
Crosses
25% (3/12)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.481.06
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
710
Tackles
60% (9/15)50% (6/12)
Duels won
3632
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.242.56
Goals prevented
-0.76-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Sane L. , Torreira L. (A),
  • 29', 2 - 0, Osimhen V. , Sane L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Aydin E. , Ntcham O. ,
  • 46', Lemina M. , Unyay A. ,
  • 56', 2 - 1, Musaba A. , Kilinc E. (A),
  • 68', Gundogan I. , Akgun Y. ,
  • 81', Tomasson L. , Marius ,
  • 83', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
  • 84', Gabriel Sara , Kutlu B. ,
  • 87', Kutlu B. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Kilinc E. ,
  • 90+1', Unyay A. , Icardi M. ,
  • 90+1', Ndiaye C. , Cift Y. E. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Osimhen V. , Akgun Y. (A),
  • 90+8', Kilinc E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Galatasaray
62.7%
Draw
21.4%
Samsunspor
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 19.9% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6% 21.4% 13.3%

Galatasaray - Samsunspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.51
(1.44)
4.44
(4.75)
5.96
(6.6)
5.7%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Galatasaray - Samsunspor?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 29 - 74.4%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 3 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 60.7%88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Galatasaray (2.34) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Galatasaray will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).
    • Galatasaray has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Samsunspor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Galatasaray is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Galatasaray: Baltaci M. (Suspended) Elmali E. (Suspended) Jakobs I. (Injury) Singo W. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Coulibaly T. (Knee Injury) Mendes J. (Red Card) Ntcham O. (Hamstring Injury) Satka L. (Injury) Sousa A. (Ankle Injury) Yuksel C. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Samsunspor: Ceesay E. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Galatasaray won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Galatasaray - Samsunspor were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Samsunspor - Galatasaray 0:2
    10.11.2024 Galatasaray - Samsunspor 3:2
    02.02.2024 Samsunspor - Galatasaray 0:2
    16.09.2023 Galatasaray - Samsunspor 4:2
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    01.12.2025 Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray 1:1
    09.11.2025 Kocaelispor - Galatasaray 1:0
    05.11.2025 Ajax - Galatasaray 0:3
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    01.12.2025 Samsunspor - Alanyaspor 1:1
    27.11.2025 Breiðablik - Samsunspor 2:2
    23.11.2025 Beşiktaş - Samsunspor 1:1
    09.11.2025 Samsunspor - Eyüpspor 1:0
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray15113132:112136
    2Trabzonspor15104127:131434
    3Fenerbahce1596032:141833
    4Goztepe1575318:9926
    5Samsunspor1567222:16625
    6Besiktas1473424:17724
    7Gaziantep1464421:22-122
    8Kocaelispor1554612:15-319
    9Basaksehir1545620:17317
    10Alanyaspor1437414:15-116
    11Konyaspor1544720:24-416
    12Rizespor1536617:23-615
    13Genclerbirligi1542917:21-414
    14Kasimpasa1535714:21-714
    15Antalyaspor1442814:25-1114
    16Eyupspor1534810:18-813
    17Kayserispor1527615:32-1713
    18Karagumruk15221113:29-168

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig