Result
2:2
06/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 5
- Referee: Patchell A. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 50% (140/279) | 57% (216/380) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 50% (140/279) | 57% (216/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (31/89) | 23% (24/106) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (70/138) | 51% (96/189) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Arubi G. ⚽, Horgan D. (A),
- 17', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
- 41', Barratt C. ↓, Twardek K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 1, Walsh S. ⚽, Twardek K. (A),
- 54', Devitt L. 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 1, Twardek K. ⚽, Keohane J. (A),
- 68', Buckley K. ↓, Wilson T. ↑,
- 69', Kenny E. ↓, Mullen D. ↑,
- 69', Dervin A. ↓, McDaid D. ↑,
- 69', Arubi G. ↓, Groome H. ↑,
- 80', Twardek K. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 2, Burns B. ⚽,
- 82', McCarthy E. ↓, McCormack C. ↑,
- 82', Hurley D. ↓, Wolfe M. ↑,
- 87', Wolfe M. 🟨,
- 90', Walsh S. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
- 90', Keohane J. ↓, Piesold A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Galway United
41.1% | Draw
29.4% | Dundalk
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galway United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Dundalk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galway United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Galway United - Dundalk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.1) |
3.19 ↓
(3.41) |
3.15 ↓
(3.47) |
7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Galway United - Dundalk?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Galway United will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Dundalk will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galway United: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Galway United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galway United won 4.
- Recent form of Galway United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dundalk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Galway United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Dundalk has had a series of away games.
- Galway United will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Galway United: McGuinness D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dundalk: Garbett N.
(Inactive)
Gaxha L.
(Knee Injury)
Mulligan L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Galway United: Walsh S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Dundalk: Animasahun M.
(Coach's decision)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Galway United won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Galway United won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Galway United won against Dundalk?
Galway United has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dundalk won against Galway United?
Dundalk has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Galway United - Dundalk were as follows:
04.10.2024
Galway United
-
Dundalk
1:1
02.08.2024
Dundalk
-
Galway United
0:2
24.05.2024
Galway United
-
Dundalk
2:0
23.02.2024
Dundalk
-
Galway United
0:2
15.09.2023
Galway United
-
Dundalk
4:0
Latest results of Galway United
Latest results of Dundalk
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bohemians | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Derry City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Drogheda | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Galway | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 10 | Waterford | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
