Result
1:1
19/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 31
- Referee: Harvey R. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two |
 United-kingdom | Virgin TV Go app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (418/490) | 71% (183/259) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (418/490) | 71% (183/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (48/69) | 43% (26/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (119/158) | 57% (46/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Sivi J. ↓, McCarthy E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Piesold A. ↓, Hurley D. ↑,
- 54', McCarthy E. 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 1, Hurley D. (Pen),
- 70', Mulraney J. ↓, Kavanagh B. ↑,
- 70', Power S. ↓, Garrick J. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, McClelland J. ⚽,
- 73', Slevin R. 🟨,
- 74', Garrick J. 🟨,
- 81', McGuinness D. ↓, Walsh S. ↑,
- 84', Melia M. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
- 84', Forrester C. ↓, Baggley B. ↑,
- 86', Bolger A. 🟨,
- 89', Burns B. 🟨,
- 90+1', Sjoberg A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Burns B. ↓, Horgan C. ↑,
- 90+5', Hurley D. 🟥,
- 90+6', Redmond J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Horgan C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St Patricks Athletic
40.9% | Draw
32.8% | Galway United
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St Patricks Athletic's form might have worsened.Galway United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Galway United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+16.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Patricks Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galway United than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Galway United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
St Patricks Athletic - Galway United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.48 ↑
(1.71) |
3.77 ↓
(3.84) |
4.64 ↓
(4.79) |
-23.2%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St Patricks Athletic - Galway United?
Users Predictions:
St Patricks Athletic will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 3.
- St Patricks is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Galway United is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Galway United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, St Patricks is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in St Patricks: Elbouzedi Z.
(Shoulder Injury)
Keena A.
(Injury)
Palmer R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in St Patricks: McLaughlin R.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Galway United?
St Patricks Athletic has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Galway United won against St Patricks Athletic?
Galway United has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St Patricks Athletic - Galway United were as follows:
14.09.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Galway United
3:1
20.06.2025
Galway United
-
St Patricks Athletic
3:1
02.05.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Galway United
2:0
21.02.2025
Galway United
-
St Patricks Athletic
2:1
18.10.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Galway United
2:1
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Latest results of Galway United
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 53:27 | 26 | 63 |
| 2 | Derry City | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 47:37 | 10 | 54 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 42:33 | 9 | 50 |
| 4 | Drogheda | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 35:33 | 2 | 47 |
| 5 | St. Patricks | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 39:33 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Sligo Rovers | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 38:49 | -11 | 37 |
| 8 | Waterford | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 38:56 | -18 | 37 |
| 9 | Galway | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 33:41 | -8 | 34 |
| 10 | Cork City | 32 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31:56 | -25 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
