Júbilo Iwata vs Gamba Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football YBC Levain Cup Júbilo Iwata - Gamba Osaka
Result
2:1 ET
21/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
72
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
38
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
72
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
21
Corner Kicks
38
Goalkeeper Saves
03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', Matsubara K. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Hummet D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Matsubara K. , Tameda H. ,
  • 46', Welton , Yamashita R. ,
  • 57', Sumi K. , Masui K. ,
  • 57', Nakamura S. , Kaneko D. ,
  • 62', Lavi N. , Kurata S. ,
  • 70', Nishikubo S. , Yoshimura R. ,
  • 70', Nawata G. , Mitsuta M. ,
  • 70', Hummet D. , Minamino H. ,
  • 79', Leo Gomes , Croux J. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Sato R. ,
  • 87', Kishimoto T. , Juan Alano ,
  • 88', Croux J. 🟨,
  • 88', Hutchinson J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Kurokawa K. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Ricardo Graca , Uemura H. ,
  • 103', Egawa Y. , Fukuoka S. ,
  • 110', 2 - 1, Yoshimura R. ,

Chances of winning


Júbilo Iwata
26.8%
Draw
26.8%
Gamba Osaka
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 26.9% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6% 25.5% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Júbilo Iwata's form might have worsened.
  • Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gamba Osaka's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Júbilo Iwata - Gamba Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.42
    (2.91)
    3.49
    (3.49)
    2.03
    (2.29)
    7.3%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Júbilo Iwata - Gamba Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 0.
    • Iwata is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gamba Osaka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Iwata won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Júbilo Iwata - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Júbilo Iwata - Gamba Osaka 3:4
    16.03.2024 Gamba Osaka - Júbilo Iwata 2:1
    29.10.2022 Gamba Osaka - Júbilo Iwata 2:0
    Latest results of Júbilo Iwata
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Draw
    Second stage

    Quarter-finals
    1Yokohama F. MarinosKashiwa Reysol1 : 4
    2Urawa RedsKawasaki Frontale1 : 1
    3Shonan BellmareSanfrecce Hiroshima3 : 2
    4Yokohama FCVissel Kobe2 : 0