Result
2:1 penalties
29/04/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (219/348) | 56% (188/333) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (219/348) | 56% (188/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (11/42) | 35% (28/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (70/132) | 48% (62/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 75 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Usami T. 🟨,
- 61', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Rafael Elias ↑,
- 70', Usami T. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
- 70', Okunuki K. ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
- 73', Hiraoka T. ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
- 73', Matsuda T. ↓, Arai H. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 0, Arai H. ⚽, Rafael Elias (A),
- 90+2', Yoon S. ↓, Yonemoto T. ↑,
- 90+2', Sato K. ↓, Asada S. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Minamino H. ⚽,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Minamino H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Marco Tulio (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Meshino R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Joao Pedro (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Nakatani S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Rafael Elias (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Hummet D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Yonemoto T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Miura G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Asada S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Yamashita R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Hirato T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Suzuki T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Fukuda S. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga
38.6% | Draw
28.4% | Gamba Osaka
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.32) |
3.3 ↓
(3.45) |
2.85 ↑
(2.83) |
6.2%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S.
(Knee Injury)
Henrique Trevisan
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Fukuoka S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Handa R.
(Injury)
Ichimori J.
(Finger Injury)
Sasaki S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Uenaka A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Abe S.
(Injury)
Jebali I.
(Injury)
Welton
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Gamba Osaka?
Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Kyoto Sanga?
Gamba Osaka has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
04.04.2026
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
2:0
29.04.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
2:1
22.09.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Gamba Osaka
2:2
03.04.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:0
08.07.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:0
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Verdy | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:23 | 20 |
| 6 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Okayama | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
