Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (455/532) | 79% (231/292) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (455/532) | 79% (231/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (33/69) | 34% (18/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (87/131) | 42% (27/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Liu Shuai ⚽, Lu Yuefeng (A),
- 12', 0 - 2, Liu Shuai ⚽, Guo Yongchu (A),
- 25', 1 - 2, Abdukerim Qaharman ⚽, Qurban W. (A),
- 40', Huang Yuxuan 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Guo Yongchu ↓, Yu Keli ↑,
- 46', Luo B. ↓, Sun Yue ↑,
- 46', Liu G. ↓, Wang Haisheng ↑,
- 46', Sun Yunlong ↓, Li Jiahao ↑,
- 46', Zhou Jingxiang ↓, Xu Yougang ↑,
- 49', Li Boyang 🟨,
- 63', Lu Yuefeng ↓, Zhou Bingxu ↑,
- 77', Wang Hongbin 🟨,
- 82', Geng Taili ↓, Anqi L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jiangxi Lushan
17.7% | Draw
29.3% | Ganzhou Ruishi
53% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-43.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jiangxi Lushan's form might have worsened.Ganzhou Ruishi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+38%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ganzhou Ruishi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+44.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jiangxi Lushan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ganzhou Ruishi than the current prediction. (-38.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ganzhou Ruishi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jiangxi Lushan - Ganzhou Ruishi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.92 ↑
(1.49) |
5.38 ↑
(3.82) |
2.97 ↓
(6.06) |
-36.6%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Jiangxi Lushan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ganzhou Ruishi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ganzhou Ruishi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Jiangxi Lushan is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jiangxi Lushan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Jiangxi Lushan won against Ganzhou Ruishi?
Jiangxi Lushan has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ganzhou Ruishi won against Jiangxi Lushan?
Ganzhou Ruishi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jiangxi Lushan - Ganzhou Ruishi were as follows:
30.08.2025
Ganzhou Ruishi
-
Jiangxi Lushan
0:1
Latest results of Jiangxi Lushan
Latest results of Ganzhou Ruishi
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 62:17 | 45 | 73 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 42:18 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Shenzhen | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 36:26 | 10 | 55 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:27 | 21 | 51 |
| 5 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 50 |
| 6 | Nantong Haimen | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 52:34 | 18 | 49 |
| 7 | Shandong Taishan B | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:27 | 16 | 48 |
| 8 | Changchun Xidu | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 41 |
Promotion ~ League One
