Jiangxi Lushan vs Ganzhou Ruishi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Yi League Jiangxi Lushan - Ganzhou Ruishi
Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.25
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
86% (455/532)79% (231/292)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.851.27
Total shots
87
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
23
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
76
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
2210
Passes
86% (455/532)79% (231/292)
Long passes
48% (33/69)34% (18/53)
Passes in final third
66% (87/131)42% (27/65)
Crosses
6% (1/17)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.440.53
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
1022
Tackles
75% (3/4)60% (6/10)
Duels won
3328
Clearances
1138
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.270.85
Goals prevented
-0.73-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Liu Shuai , Lu Yuefeng (A),
  • 12', 0 - 2, Liu Shuai , Guo Yongchu (A),
  • 25', 1 - 2, Abdukerim Qaharman , Qurban W. (A),
  • 40', Huang Yuxuan 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Guo Yongchu , Yu Keli ,
  • 46', Luo B. , Sun Yue ,
  • 46', Liu G. , Wang Haisheng ,
  • 46', Sun Yunlong , Li Jiahao ,
  • 46', Zhou Jingxiang , Xu Yougang ,
  • 49', Li Boyang 🟨,
  • 63', Lu Yuefeng , Zhou Bingxu ,
  • 77', Wang Hongbin 🟨,
  • 82', Geng Taili , Anqi L. ,

Chances of winning


Jiangxi Lushan
17.7%
Draw
29.3%
Ganzhou Ruishi
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.1% 23.8% 15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 23.3% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-43.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jiangxi Lushan's form might have worsened.
  • Ganzhou Ruishi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+38%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ganzhou Ruishi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+44.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jiangxi Lushan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ganzhou Ruishi than the current prediction. (-38.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ganzhou Ruishi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jiangxi Lushan - Ganzhou Ruishi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.92
    (1.49)
    5.38
    (3.82)
    2.97
    (6.06)
    -36.6%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Jiangxi Lushan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ganzhou Ruishi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ganzhou Ruishi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Jiangxi Lushan is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jiangxi Lushan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jiangxi Lushan - Ganzhou Ruishi were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Ganzhou Ruishi - Jiangxi Lushan 0:1
    Latest results of Jiangxi Lushan
    Chinese Yi League Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangxi Hengchen30234362:174573
    2Wuxi Wugou30197442:182464
    3Shenzhen30167736:261055
    4Chengdu Rongcheng B30149748:272151
    5Guizhou Zhucheng301551039:34550
    6Nantong Haimen301310752:341849
    7Shandong Taishan B301212643:271648
    8Changchun Xidu301011924:28-441

          Promotion ~ League One