Ganzhou Ruishi vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
29/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.19
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
102
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
85% (377/443)78% (333/429)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.840.13
Total shots
176
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
101
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
175
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
714
Passes
85% (377/443)78% (333/429)
Long passes
59% (30/51)37% (23/63)
Passes in final third
59% (55/94)58% (48/83)
Crosses
42% (8/19)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.15
Throw-ins
1321
Fouls
147
Tackles
56% (5/9)86% (18/21)
Duels won
2944
Clearances
1721
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
0.132.84
Goals prevented
0.130.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Liu Shuai , Li Yan (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Zhou Bingxu , Geng Taili ,
  • 46', Wu Xinze , Fu Jie ,
  • 64', Lu Yuefeng , Wei Zhenghong ,
  • 69', Zhang Hanwen , Tan Tiancheng ,
  • 69', Zhang Ao , Zhang Song ,
  • 77', Ablimit Feruk , Xiaohan L. ,
  • 77', Huang Zhiyuan , Yu Xueyi ,
  • 79', 2 - 0, Geng Taili , Li Yan (A),
  • 79', Liu Shuai , Anqi L. ,
  • 79', Guo Yongchu , Yu Keli ,
  • 90+2', Liao Haochuan , Fan Wensheng ,

Chances of winning


Ganzhou Ruishi
73.2%
Draw
18.4%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 30% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 30% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ganzhou Ruishi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ganzhou Ruishi's performance.
  • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanxi Chongde Ronghai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ganzhou Ruishi than the current prediction. (-30.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ganzhou Ruishi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai than the current prediction. (+18.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanxi Chongde Ronghai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ganzhou Ruishi - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (2.17)
    5.19
    (3.1)
    11.4
    (3.42)
    4.6%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Ganzhou Ruishi - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ganzhou Ruishi will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Shanxi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Ganzhou Ruishi (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75 - Ganzhou Ruishi (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Ganzhou Ruishi (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ganzhou Ruishi will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ganzhou Ruishi (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Ganzhou Ruishi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Shanxi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ganzhou Ruishi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ganzhou Ruishi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ganzhou Ruishi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ganzhou Ruishi - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Ganzhou Ruishi 2:0
    28.09.2024 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Ganzhou Ruishi 1:1
    25.08.2024 Ganzhou Ruishi - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 2:2
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B761016:31319
    2Shandong Taishan B751113:6716
    3Taian Tiankuang73228:6211
    4Dalian Kewei72503:1211
    5Shanxi Chongde Ronghai72236:7-18
    6Dalian Yingbo B71517:8-18
    7Nantong Haimen71428:627
    8Lanzhou Longyuan71423:6-37
    9Changchun Xidu71426:10-47
    10Qingdao Red Lions70526:8-25
    11Shanghai Second71249:17-85
    12Beijing Technology70345:12-73


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guizhou Guiyang75028:6215
    2Guangzhou Dandelion741210:7313
    3Hubei Istar73318:6212
    4Chengdu Rongcheng B73317:5212
    5Xiamen Feilu724115:13210
    6Jiangxi Lushan72328:629
    7Shenzhen723210:11-19
    8Hangzhou Linping71519:908
    9Ganzhou Ruishi71425:6-17
    10Wenzhou Professional70433:6-34
    11Wuhan Three Towns B70435:9-44
    12Guangdong Mingtu70436:10-44

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