Colwyn Bay vs Gap Connahs Quay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
24/01/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 23
  • Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
66
Corner kicks
84
Yellow cards
02
Total shots
117
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
51
Corner kicks
84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Cook J. ,
  • 41', 0 - 2, West C. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 2, Davies J. ,
  • 54', Kargbo U. , Roberts E. ,
  • 54', Roberts D. 🟨,
  • 55', West C. , Kenny J. ,
  • 55', Sharif A. , Redshaw F. ,
  • 62', Edwards A. , Moore A. ,
  • 86', Margetson K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Roberts D. , Cowan D. ,
  • 90+4', Bratley C. , Ismail Z. ,
  • 90+5', Peate N. , Astles R. ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Astles R. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Colwyn Bay
25.5%
Draw
24.8%
Gap Connahs Quay
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 26.7% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 25.4% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colwyn Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colwyn Bay's form might have worsened.
  • Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gap Connahs Quay's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colwyn Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gap Connahs Quay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.63
    (2.83)
    3.72
    (3.43)
    1.86
    (2.23)
    8.1%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Connahs Quay (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Gap Connahs Quay will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 0.
    • Colwyn Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Connahs Quay is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Colwyn Bay has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Connahs Quay is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1.4:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Colwyn Bay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 2:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay were as follows:
    05.12.2025 Gap Connahs Quay - Colwyn Bay 2:1
    10.08.2025 Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay 1:1
    29.11.2023 Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay 2:3
    26.09.2023 Gap Connahs Quay - Colwyn Bay 2:1
    12.11.2022 Gap Connahs Quay - Colwyn Bay 4:0
    Latest results of Colwyn Bay
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS26212370:205065
    2Connahs Q26148451:292250
    3Penybont26117837:40-340
    4Colwyn Bay26107935:30537
    5Caernarfon2699846:37936
    6Barry2699836:27936

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