Result
2:2
24/01/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 23
- Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 35', 0 - 1, Cook J. ⚽,
- 41', 0 - 2, West C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 2, Davies J. ⚽,
- 54', Kargbo U. ↓, Roberts E. ↑,
- 54', Roberts D. 🟨,
- 55', West C. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
- 55', Sharif A. ↓, Redshaw F. ↑,
- 62', Edwards A. ↓, Moore A. ↑,
- 86', Margetson K. 🟨,
- 90+4', Roberts D. ↓, Cowan D. ↑,
- 90+4', Bratley C. ↓, Ismail Z. ↑,
- 90+5', Peate N. ↓, Astles R. ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Astles R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Colwyn Bay
25.5% | Draw
24.8% | Gap Connahs Quay
49.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colwyn Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colwyn Bay's form might have worsened.Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gap Connahs Quay's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colwyn Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gap Connahs Quay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↑
(2.83) |
3.72 ↑
(3.43) |
1.86 ↓
(2.23) |
8.1%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay?
Users Predictions:
Gap Connahs Quay will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gap Connahs Quay will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 0.
- Colwyn Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Connahs Quay is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Colwyn Bay has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Connahs Quay is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1.4:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colwyn Bay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 2:3.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Colwyn Bay won against Gap Connahs Quay?
Colwyn Bay has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gap Connahs Quay won against Colwyn Bay?
Gap Connahs Quay has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay were as follows:
05.12.2025
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Colwyn Bay
2:1
10.08.2025
Colwyn Bay
-
Gap Connahs Quay
1:1
29.11.2023
Colwyn Bay
-
Gap Connahs Quay
2:3
26.09.2023
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Colwyn Bay
2:1
12.11.2022
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Colwyn Bay
4:0
Latest results of Colwyn Bay
Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS ✔ | 31 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 80:25 | 55 | 77 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. ✔ | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 60:37 | 23 | 57 |
| 3 | Barry ✔ | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 43:32 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Colwyn Bay ✔ | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 40:36 | 4 | 44 |
| 5 | Caernarfon ✔ | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 54:47 | 7 | 42 |
| 6 | Penybont ✔ | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39:47 | -8 | 41 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
TNS is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Connahs Q. is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Barry is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Colwyn Bay is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Penybont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
