Gap Connahs Quay vs Colwyn Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/04/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 32
  • Referee: Jones A. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
26
Corner kicks
59
Yellow cards
43
Total shots
610
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
44
Corner kicks
59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 31', Robles L. 🟨,
  • 31', Cowan D. 🟨,
  • 34', Roberts E. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, West C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 38', Sirrell L. 🟨,
  • 40', Woodcock M. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Cumming J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Robles L. , Kargbo I. ,
  • 46', Edwards A. , Davies J. ,
  • 46', Sharif A. , Oswell J. ,
  • 64', Woodcock M. , Ismail Z. ,
  • 65', West C. 🟨,
  • 66', Hill M. , Williams A. ,
  • 66', Cumming J. , Williams A. ,
  • 79', Partridge C. 🟨,
  • 79', Roberts E. , Hart S. ,
  • 84', Franklin H. , Bennett J. ,
  • 84', Partridge C. , Waterhouse J. ,

Chances of winning


Gap Connahs Quay
44.4%
Draw
25.1%
Colwyn Bay
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 24.6% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 24.1% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gap Connahs Quay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gap Connahs Quay's form might have worsened.
  • Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colwyn Bay's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gap Connahs Quay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colwyn Bay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gap Connahs Quay - Colwyn Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.74)
    3.72
    (3.73)
    3.06
    (4.05)
    7.2%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Connahs Quay is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
    • Colwyn Bay is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Connahs Quay is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:12. (average 2.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Connahs Quay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gap Connahs Quay - Colwyn Bay were as follows:
    24.01.2026 Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay 2:2
    05.12.2025 Gap Connahs Quay - Colwyn Bay 2:1
    10.08.2025 Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay 1:1
    29.11.2023 Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay 2:3
    26.09.2023 Gap Connahs Quay - Colwyn Bay 2:1
    Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
    Latest results of Colwyn Bay
    Draw
    Conference League - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Barry (3)Haverfordwest (7)1 : 2
    2Colwyn Bay (5)Penybont (6)0 : 1

    Final
    1Haverfordwest (7)Penybont (6)