Colwyn Bay vs Pen-y-Bont – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1 penalties
25/04/2026 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Conference League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
13
Corner kicks
53
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
97
Corner kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 66', Baker A. , Green C. ,
  • 67', Edwards A. , Cumming J. ,
  • 73', Clay J. , Woodiwiss J. ,
  • 77', Cvetkovic A. , Daley N. ,
  • 82', Hill M. , Williams A. ,
  • 88', Moore A. , Williams A. ,
  • Penalties (3 - 5)
  • 1, Venables C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Williams A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Wood N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Hughes G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Pritchard O. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Davies J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Daley N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Sirrell L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Green C. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Colwyn Bay
48.7%
Draw
26.2%
Pen-y-Bont
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 26.9% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 25.4% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colwyn Bay's performance.
  • Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pen-y-Bont might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Colwyn Bay - Pen-y-Bont Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.18)
    3.54
    (3.4)
    3.67
    (2.92)
    8.2%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 2.
    • Recent performances by Colwyn Bay have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pen-y-Bont has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Colwyn Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Colwyn Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 2.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colwyn Bay - Pen-y-Bont were as follows:
    28.03.2026 Pen-y-Bont - Colwyn Bay 0:0
    21.02.2026 Colwyn Bay - Pen-y-Bont 3:1
    29.11.2025 Colwyn Bay - Pen-y-Bont 5:4
    27.09.2025 Pen-y-Bont - Colwyn Bay 1:0
    16.03.2024 Pen-y-Bont - Colwyn Bay 5:0
    Latest results of Colwyn Bay
    Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
    Draw
    Conference League - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Barry (3)Haverfordwest (7)1 : 2
    2Colwyn Bay (5)Penybont (6)0 : 1

    Final
    1Haverfordwest (7)Penybont (6)0 : 2