Gap Connahs Quay vs The New Saints – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Gap Connahs Quay
22.4%
Draw
25%
The New Saints
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 23.1% 58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9% 22.8% 59.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and The New Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that The New Saints could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.06
    (5.17)
    3.65
    (4.05)
    1.74
    (1.59)
    9.6%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 1.
    • Connahs Quay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • TNS is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Connahs Quay has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, TNS has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, TNS is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:45. (average 1:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Connahs Quay won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints were as follows:
    31.12.2025 Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints 3:1
    10.09.2025 Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints 1:3
    22.08.2025 The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay 3:0
    04.05.2025 The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay 2:1
    31.12.2024 The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay 2:1
    Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
    Latest results of The New Saints
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS26212370:205065
    2Connahs Q26148451:292250
    3Penybont26117837:40-340
    4Colwyn Bay26107935:30537
    5Caernarfon2699846:37936
    6Barry2699836:27936

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