Result
1:2
03/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 27
- Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', Roberts D. 🟨,
- 58', Roberts D. ↓, Edwards N. ↑,
- 64', Jefferies I. ↓, Barton D. ↑,
- 70', Brobbel R. ↓, Wilson B. ↑,
- 70', Holden R. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
- 77', Jones J. 🟨,
- 81', Edwards N. 🟨,
- 83', 0 - 1, Wilson B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 84', 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 1, Franklin H. ⚽,
- 89', Franklin H. ↓, Woodcock M. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Davies D. ⚽,
- 90+5', Davies D. 🟨,
- 90+7', Sharif A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/msw75mnj
Chances of winning
Gap Connahs Quay
24.1% | Draw
25.6% | The New Saints
50.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gap Connahs Quay's performance.The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and The New Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gap Connahs Quay that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that The New Saints could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.82 ↓
(5.17) |
3.6 ↓
(4.05) |
1.83 ↑
(1.59) |
8.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Connahs Quay will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). TNS will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for TNS: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. TNS (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 1.
- Connahs Quay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- TNS is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- TNS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Connahs Quay has had a series of away games.
- Recently, TNS has had a series of home games.
- In this match, TNS is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:45. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Connahs Quay won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gap Connahs Quay won against The New Saints?
Gap Connahs Quay has won 2 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has The New Saints won against Gap Connahs Quay?
The New Saints has won 12 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints were as follows:
31.12.2025
Gap Connahs Quay
-
The New Saints
3:1
10.09.2025
Gap Connahs Quay
-
The New Saints
1:3
22.08.2025
The New Saints
-
Gap Connahs Quay
3:0
04.05.2025
The New Saints
-
Gap Connahs Quay
2:1
31.12.2024
The New Saints
-
Gap Connahs Quay
2:1
Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
Latest results of The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS ✔ | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 74:22 | 52 | 71 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. ✔ | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 56:33 | 23 | 53 |
| 3 | Colwyn Bay | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:34 | 4 | 40 |
| 4 | Penybont | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:43 | -5 | 40 |
| 5 | Caernarfon | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 51:41 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Barry | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:30 | 8 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
TNS is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Connahs Q. is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
