Gap Connahs Quay vs The New Saints – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh League Cup Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints
Result
1:3
10/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Cup - 1/8-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Jefferies I. ,
  • 38', 0 - 2, Jefferies I. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 0 - 3, Clark B. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Franklin H. ,

Chances of winning


Gap Connahs Quay
19.8%
Draw
21.9%
The New Saints
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.3% 20.2% 63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 19.4% 66%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and The New Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that The New Saints could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.64
    (5.67)
    4.19
    (4.58)
    1.58
    (1.46)
    8.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 1.
    • Connahs Quay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • TNS is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Connahs Quay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, TNS is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:42. (average 1.1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Connahs Quay won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints were as follows:
    22.08.2025 The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay 3:0
    04.05.2025 The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay 2:1
    31.12.2024 The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay 2:1
    30.10.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints 1:2
    28.04.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints 2:1
    Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
    Latest results of The New Saints
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1HolyheadBuckley0 : 4
    2ByeNewtown
    3GuilsfieldMold Alexandra3 : 0
    4ByeBala
    5LlandudnoBye
    6GresfordBrickfield3 : 0
    7RhylCaersws FC2 : 1
    8DenbighFlint Mountain3 : 1
    9RuthinPenrhyncoch1 : 0
    10ByeConnahs Q.
    11TNSBye
    12ByeAirbus
    13CaernarfonBye
    14ByeColwyn Bay
    15FlintBye
    16ByeHolywell
    17TreowenCambrian United2 : 3
    18Cardiff U21Ammanford1 : 0
    19Cardiff MetropolitanBye
    20PontypriddCwmbran Celtic1 : 0
    21Caerau ElyTrefelin3 : 4
    22ByePenybont
    23Briton FerryBye
    24ByeTrethomas Bluebirds
    25HaverfordwestBye
    26Newport CityBaglan Dragons2 : 0
    27Llantwit MajorAfan Lido1 : 2
    28Swansea U21Carmarthen Town4 : 1
    29BarryBye
    30ByeAberystwyth
    31Ynyshir AlbionsCardiff Draconians4 : 1
    32ByeLlanelli

    1/16-finals
    1BuckleyNewtown2 : 3
    2GuilsfieldBala2 : 3
    3LlandudnoGresford7 : 0
    4RhylDenbigh2 : 3
    5RuthinConnahs Q.0 : 9
    6TNSAirbus7 : 1
    7CaernarfonColwyn Bay3 : 0
    8FlintHolywell1 : 2
    9Cambrian UnitedCardiff U212 : 0
    10Cardiff MetropolitanPontypridd4 : 0
    11TrefelinPenybont1 : 6
    12Briton FerryTrethomas Bluebirds3 : 0
    13HaverfordwestNewport City5 : 0
    14Afan LidoSwansea U210 : 5
    15BarryAberystwyth2 : 1
    16Ynyshir AlbionsLlanelli1 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1NewtownBala2 : 1
    2LlandudnoDenbigh3 : 1
    3Connahs Q.TNS1 : 3
    4CaernarfonHolywell3 : 2
    5Cambrian UnitedCardiff Metropolitan2 : 1
    6PenybontBriton Ferry2 : 3
    7HaverfordwestSwansea U214 : 1
    8BarryLlanelli1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1NewtownLlandudno
    2TNSCaernarfon
    3Cambrian UnitedBriton Ferry
    4HaverfordwestBarry