Pen-y-Bont vs The New Saints – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 28
  • Referee: Jones A. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
76
Corner kicks
97
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
49
Corner kicks
97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Venables C. ,
  • 23', Redmond D. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Brobbel R. ,
  • 44', Daley N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', McGahey H. 🟨,
  • 66', Barton D. , Marshall J. ,
  • 80', Redmond D. , Wilson B. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 88', Daley N. , Phillips I. ,
  • 90+1', Wood N. , Warlow O. ,
  • 90+1', Owen K. , Jones J. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Williams J. ,

Chances of winning


Pen-y-Bont
13%
Draw
19.6%
The New Saints
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.7% 19% 68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12% 18% 72%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.08
    (7.23)
    4.71
    (4.83)
    1.37
    (1.35)
    8.3%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pen-y-Bont will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). TNS will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • TNS is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 1.
    • Pen-y-Bont has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • TNS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • TNS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, TNS is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 20:53. (average 1:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pen-y-Bont won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.9:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints were as follows:
    07.02.2026 The New Saints - Pen-y-Bont 6:0
    11.10.2025 The New Saints - Pen-y-Bont 6:2
    16.08.2025 Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints 0:2
    29.03.2025 Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints 1:0
    08.02.2025 The New Saints - Pen-y-Bont 4:0
    Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
    Latest results of The New Saints
    Draw
    Conference League - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Barry (3)Haverfordwest (7)1 : 2
    2Colwyn Bay (5)Penybont (6)0 : 1

    Final
    1Haverfordwest (7)Penybont (6)